--- title: "VPGOLDERA case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "VPGOLDERA ($2.74) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 60.78% over 16 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c rendered: 2026-11-12T15:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [VPGOLDERA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · VPGOLDERA A case on 500 Casino, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c?window=all) Price · $2.74 · 4,571 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 60.78% · 16 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min 2.0% 60.8% 119.5% **Small sample.** 16 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c?window=7d) | 16 | 60.78% ±58.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c) | 16 | 60.78% ±58.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c?window=all) | 16 | 60.78% ±58.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6a5bd7b484ad183ed503460c) [MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $1.00 1,666 BUX 0.36x 2026-11-08 12:23 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $9.94 16,560 BUX 3.62x 2026-11-08 12:23 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-08 12:23 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) [Jakub](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Jakub) $2.74 4,571 BUX $1.00 1,666 BUX 0.36x 2026-11-08 12:23 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $1.00 1,666 BUX 0.36x 2026-11-07 02:17 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-07 02:17 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-07 02:17 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) [willeallden](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/willeallden) $2.74 4,571 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-07 02:17 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-07 02:09 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $2.74 4,571 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-07 02:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 60.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $60.78 on average: an expected loss of $39.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt