--- title: "99 Chance Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "99 Chance Case ($20.00) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.96% over 478 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case rendered: 2026-11-11T23:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [99 Chance Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · 99 Chance Case A case on Bloodycase (Fridays party cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case?window=all) Price · $20.00 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 84.96% · 478 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 74 openings · below min 7 days · 382 openings · below min 30 days · 478 openings · below min since tracking started · 478 openings · below min 59.5% 81.0% 102.5% **Small sample.** 478 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case?window=24h) | 74 | 80.95% ±21.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case?window=7d) | 382 | 80.86% ±8.74 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case) | 478 | 84.96% ±8.21 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/99-chance-case?window=all) | 478 | 84.96% ±8.21 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=99-chance-case) [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) [bozkurt](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/bozkurt) $20.00 $30.94 1.55x 2026-11-11 22:16 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) [Fake](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Fake) $20.00 $4.28 0.21x 2026-11-11 22:16 UTC [Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/antwerp-2022-vertigo-souvenir-package) [ArGoN](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/ArGoN) $20.00 $8.93 0.45x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC [Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-dust-ii-souvenir-package) [CiguliMemolivv](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/CiguliMemolivv) $20.00 $3.81 0.19x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) [GHEXAA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/GHEXAA) $20.00 $4.16 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [GHEXAA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/GHEXAA) $20.00 $7.71 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) [nice ass](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/nice%20ass) $20.00 $4.15 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC [USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) [victor.sundstrom](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/victor.sundstrom) $20.00 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) [zohar](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/zohar) $20.00 $12.87 0.64x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) [The Legend 27](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/The%20Legend%2027) $20.00 $4.15 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.00 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.96 on average: an expected loss of $15.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt