--- title: "Arena Champion Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Arena Champion Case ($4.75) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.28% over 411 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case rendered: 2026-11-12T03:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Arena Champion Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Arena Champion Case A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case?window=all) Price · $4.75 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 78.28% · 411 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 64 openings · below min 7 days · 295 openings · below min 30 days · 411 openings · below min since tracking started · 411 openings · below min 57.5% 80.8% 104.0% **Small sample.** 411 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case?window=24h) | 64 | 80.78% ±22.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case?window=7d) | 295 | 80.61% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case) | 411 | 78.28% ±8.94 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/arena-champion-case?window=all) | 411 | 78.28% ±8.94 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 12 Nov, 02:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=arena-champion-case) [M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) [zdtqorynef](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/zdtqorynef) $4.75 $8.58 1.81x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) [mux.zem123](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/mux.zem123) $4.75 $1.51 0.32x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) [Senku](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Senku) $4.75 $0.26 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) [lukazemunac305](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/lukazemunac305) $4.75 $8.14 1.71x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) [Balde](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Balde) $4.75 $0.45 0.09x 2026-11-11 23:36 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) [munibkakanj](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/munibkakanj) $4.75 $3.04 0.64x 2026-11-11 23:36 UTC [UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-factory-new) [GHEXAA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/GHEXAA) $4.75 $0.85 0.18x 2026-11-11 22:59 UTC [UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-factory-new) [d11F1CULT LANCINHA DO AMOR](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/d11F1CULT%20LANCINHA%20DO%20AMOR) $4.75 $0.85 0.18x 2026-11-11 22:59 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) [ChaO| BERXWEDAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/ChaO%7C%20BERXWEDAN) $4.75 $13.34 2.81x 2026-11-11 22:26 UTC [UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-minimal-wear) [Ur mom](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Ur%20mom) $4.75 $0.46 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.75 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.28 on average: an expected loss of $21.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt