--- title: "Black Friday Bag Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Black Friday Bag Case ($2.70) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.04% over 366 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case rendered: 2026-11-12T01:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Black Friday Bag Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Black Friday Bag Case A case on Bloodycase (New cases), first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case?window=all) Price · $2.70 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 82.04% · 366 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 126 openings · below min 7 days · 366 openings · below min 30 days · 366 openings · below min since tracking started · 366 openings · below min 71.0% 92.3% 113.5% **Small sample.** 366 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case?window=24h) | 126 | 93.06% ±20.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case?window=7d) | 366 | 82.04% ±10.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case) | 366 | 82.04% ±10.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/black-friday-bag-case?window=all) | 366 | 82.04% ±10.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=black-friday-bag-case) [MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-bronzer-factory-new) [Lil Akiira](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Lil%20Akiira) $2.70 $0.07 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-bronzer-factory-new) [alk](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alk) $2.70 $0.07 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:06 UTC [Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-minimal-wear) [alk](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alk) $2.70 $2.37 0.88x 2026-11-12 01:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-minimal-wear) [alk](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alk) $2.70 $3.71 1.37x 2026-11-12 01:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [alk](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alk) $2.70 $1.50 0.56x 2026-11-12 01:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-minimal-wear) [alk](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alk) $2.70 $3.71 1.37x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-field-tested) [blue](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/blue) $2.70 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:02 UTC [MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-bronzer-factory-new) [blue](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/blue) $2.70 $0.07 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:01 UTC [AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [i kill u :)))](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/i%20kill%20u%20%3A%29%29%29) $2.70 $2.13 0.79x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC [MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-field-tested) [KXALA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/KXALA) $2.70 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.04 on average: an expected loss of $17.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt