--- title: "Blue Friday Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blue Friday Case ($9.99) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.77% over 737 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday rendered: 2026-11-11T20:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Blue Friday Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Blue Friday Case A case on Bloodycase (Fridays party cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday?window=all) Price · $9.99 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 81.77% · 737 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 76 openings · below min 7 days · 372 openings · below min 30 days · 737 openings · below min since tracking started · 737 openings · below min 66.5% 131.3% 196.0% **Small sample.** 737 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday?window=24h) | 76 | 145.03% ±50.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday?window=7d) | 372 | 81.87% ±14.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday) | 737 | 81.77% ±9.54 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/blue-friday?window=all) | 737 | 81.77% ±9.54 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=blue-friday) [Nova | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-field-tested) [GHEXAA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/GHEXAA) $9.99 $2.47 0.25x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Nova | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-field-tested) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $9.99 $2.47 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) [kikapanama](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/kikapanama) $9.99 $29.17 2.92x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $9.99 $107 10.66x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [Nova | Rain Station (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rain-station-minimal-wear) [𝕺𝖋𝖋𝕷𝖎𝖓𝖊](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%F0%9D%95%BA%F0%9D%96%8B%F0%9D%96%8B%F0%9D%95%B7%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%8A) $9.99 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-well-worn) [Nirvana is alive](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Nirvana%20is%20alive) $9.99 $25.79 2.58x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [USP-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) [ZacMu123](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/ZacMu123) $9.99 $3.33 0.33x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $9.99 $107 10.66x 2026-11-11 17:04 UTC [P250 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-field-tested) [are care](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/are%20care) $9.99 $26.31 2.63x 2026-11-11 17:04 UTC [USP-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-field-tested) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $9.99 $2.97 0.30x 2026-11-11 16:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.99 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.77 on average: an expected loss of $18.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt