--- title: "Butterfly Knives Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Butterfly Knives Case ($1,499.99) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 58.52% over 45 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives rendered: 2026-11-12T03:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Butterfly Knives Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Butterfly Knives Case A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives?window=all) Price · $1,499.99 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 58.52% · 45 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 45 openings · below min 30 days · 45 openings · below min since tracking started · 45 openings · below min 52.0% 58.5% 65.0% **Small sample.** 45 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives?window=7d) | 45 | 58.52% ±6.04 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives) | 45 | 58.52% ±6.04 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/butterfly-knives?window=all) | 45 | 58.52% ±6.04 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 12 Nov, 02:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,485 0.99x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [SkøŃ SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Sk%C3%B8%C5%83%20SKINS) $1,500 $1,485 0.99x 2026-11-07 13:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) [SkøŃ SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Sk%C3%B8%C5%83%20SKINS) $1,500 $1,444 0.96x 2026-11-07 13:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [BERITA CS2 YOUTUBE](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/BERITA%20CS2%20YOUTUBE) $1,500 $1,344 0.90x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [BERITA CS2 YOUTUBE](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/BERITA%20CS2%20YOUTUBE) $1,500 $1,309 0.87x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,296 0.86x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,296 0.86x 2026-11-07 13:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,296 0.86x 2026-11-07 13:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,226 0.82x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,076 0.72x 2026-11-07 13:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=butterfly-knives) [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [CODE: THOSSA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/CODE%3A%20THOSSA) $1,500 $730 0.49x 2026-11-08 21:45 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-factory-new) [CODE: THOSSA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/CODE%3A%20THOSSA) $1,500 $1,026 0.68x 2026-11-08 21:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,485 0.99x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $977 0.65x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $1,226 0.82x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $692 0.46x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $557 0.37x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $531 0.35x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-well-worn) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $412 0.27x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [XotiicX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/XotiicX) $1,500 $630 0.42x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1,500 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,485 (0.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 58.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $58.52 on average: an expected loss of $41.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt