--- title: "Cupid Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cupid Case ($2.14) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 106.77% over 957 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid rendered: 2026-11-11T18:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Cupid Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Cupid Case A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid?window=all) Price · $2.14 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 106.77% · 957 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 159 openings · below min 7 days · 741 openings · below min 30 days · 957 openings · below min since tracking started · 957 openings · below min 77.0% 96.5% 116.0% **Small sample.** 957 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid?window=24h) | 159 | 92.21% ±14.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid?window=7d) | 741 | 98.89% ±8.25 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid) | 957 | 106.77% ±8.62 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/cupid?window=all) | 957 | 106.77% ±8.62 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 14:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=cupid) [MP9 | Shredded (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-factory-new) [Jemalex](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Jemalex) $2.14 $0.76 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-field-tested) [gevow70416](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/gevow70416) $2.14 $0.31 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $2.14 $3.50 1.64x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) [Jamal, O](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Jamal%2C%20O) $2.14 $3.19 1.49x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) [brhnsvrky1](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/brhnsvrky1) $2.14 $1.37 0.64x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) [AGS1207](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/AGS1207) $2.14 $3.67 1.71x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-heart-princess-pink) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $2.14 $0.15 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [Totoco](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Totoco) $2.14 $0.23 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) [polonie](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/polonie) $2.14 $0.57 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) [kira](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/kira) $2.14 $1.02 0.48x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.14 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 106.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $106.77 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt