--- title: "MONTE Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "MONTE Case ($25.99) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.20% over 440 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case rendered: 2026-11-12T02:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [MONTE Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · MONTE Case A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case?window=all) Price · $25.99 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 78.20% · 440 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 56 openings · below min 7 days · 314 openings · below min 30 days · 440 openings · below min since tracking started · 440 openings · below min 44.5% 65.8% 87.0% **Small sample.** 440 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case?window=24h) | 56 | 59.78% ±14.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case?window=7d) | 314 | 67.43% ±7.28 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case) | 440 | 78.20% ±8.13 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/monte-case?window=all) | 440 | 78.20% ±8.13 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 12 Nov, 02:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=monte-case) [MAC-10 | Indigo (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-field-tested) [MIBR|WiLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/MIBR%7CWiLL) $25.99 $2.15 0.08x 2026-11-12 01:59 UTC [SCAR-20 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-field-tested) [НАХУЯ ТЫ ИГРАЛ С Ч](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%D0%9D%D0%90%D0%A5%D0%A3%D0%AF%20%D0%A2%D0%AB%20%D0%98%D0%93%D0%A0%D0%90%D0%9B%20%D0%A1%20%D0%A7) $25.99 $2.04 0.08x 2026-11-12 01:59 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) [xSiK](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/xSiK) $25.99 $8.47 0.33x 2026-11-12 01:59 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) [Flag](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Flag) $25.99 $36.23 1.39x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) [mati.moscic .pl](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/mati.moscic%20.pl) $25.99 $36.23 1.39x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC [UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) [toxa\_ba](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/toxa_ba) $25.99 $4.30 0.17x 2026-11-12 00:27 UTC [P90 | Sunset Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-battle-scarred) [Pedro Sanchez](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Pedro%20Sanchez) $25.99 $11.26 0.43x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-battle-scarred) [Zer0](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Zer0) $25.99 $1.28 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [Sticker | Monte (Holo) | Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monte-holo-cologne-2026) [Urso](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Urso) $25.99 $12.73 0.49x 2026-11-11 23:08 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) [Phan Vinh "Choke"](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Phan%20Vinh%20%26quot%3BChoke%26quot%3B) $25.99 $22.57 0.87x 2026-11-11 23:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $25.99 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.20 on average: an expected loss of $21.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt