--- title: "Neon Friday Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Neon Friday Case ($399.00) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 48.78% over 40 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday rendered: 2026-11-11T22:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Neon Friday Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Neon Friday Case A case on Bloodycase (Fridays party cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday?window=all) Price · $399.00 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 48.78% · 40 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 5 openings · below min 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min 34.5% 72.0% 109.5% **Small sample.** 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday?window=24h) | 5 | 72.13% ±36.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday?window=7d) | 40 | 48.78% ±11.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday) | 40 | 48.78% ±11.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/neon-friday?window=all) | 40 | 48.78% ±11.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=neon-friday) [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) [Balari ⛟](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Balari%20%E2%9B%9F) $399 $383 0.96x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) [Balari ⛟](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Balari%20%E2%9B%9F) $399 $403 1.01x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) [Balari ⛟](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Balari%20%E2%9B%9F) $399 $439 1.10x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-well-worn) [Balari ⛟](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Balari%20%E2%9B%9F) $399 $138 0.35x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) [Balari ⛟](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Balari%20%E2%9B%9F) $399 $75.82 0.19x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) [alya](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alya) $399 $107 0.27x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-well-worn) [alya](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alya) $399 $138 0.34x 2026-11-10 18:47 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) [alya](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alya) $399 $113 0.28x 2026-11-10 18:46 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) [alya](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alya) $399 $76.28 0.19x 2026-11-10 18:46 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [alya](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alya) $399 $127 0.32x 2026-11-10 18:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $399 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 48.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $48.78 on average: an expected loss of $51.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt