---
title: "Nuke Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Nuke Case ($2.12) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.76% over 1,280 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Nuke Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case)

# [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Nuke Case

A case on Bloodycase (New cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case?window=all)

Price · $2.12

Advertised RTP · — · no odds published

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.76% · 1,280 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 114 openings · below min

7 days · 84.80% ±7.61 1,028 openings

30 days · 89.76% ±8.09 1,280 openings

since tracking started · 89.76% ±8.09 1,280 openings

55.5% 94.8% 134.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case?window=24h) | 114 | 94.88% ±38.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case?window=7d) | 1,028 | 84.80% ±7.61 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case) | 1,280 | 89.76% ±8.09 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/nuke-case?window=all) | 1,280 | 89.76% ±8.09 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone.

Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 08:04 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=nuke-case)

[MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [TiltMan](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/TiltMan) $2.12 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Negev | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-minimal-wear) [VaPo](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/VaPo) $2.12 $0.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-well-worn) [Jalim Rabei](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Jalim%20Rabei) $2.12 $0.10 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [MrDarkSoul ༼ つ ◕\_◕ ༽](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/MrDarkSoul%20%E0%BC%BC%20%E3%81%A4%20%E2%97%95_%E2%97%95%20%E0%BC%BD) $2.12 $0.12 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) [gustavogpa](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/gustavogpa) $2.12 $3.19 1.50x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) [Tomio](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Tomio) $2.12 $1.71 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) [crazy867](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/crazy867) $2.12 $2.28 1.08x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

[XM1014 | Black Tie (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-field-tested) [Lucas7S](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Lucas7S) $2.12 $1.44 0.68x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

[SG 553 | Atlas (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-atlas-factory-new) [#hidden#](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%23hidden%23) $2.12 $1.00 0.47x 2026-11-11 11:42 UTC

[P90 | Off World (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 $1.25 0.59x 2026-11-11 11:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.76 on average: an expected loss of $10.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
