--- title: "Operation Phoenix Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Operation Phoenix Case ($1.49) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 52.56% over 39 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix rendered: 2026-11-11T20:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Operation Phoenix Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Operation Phoenix Case A case on Bloodycase (CS2 Cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix?window=all) Price · $1.49 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 52.56% · 39 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 5 openings · below min 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 39 openings · below min since tracking started · 39 openings · below min 12.5% 69.3% 126.0% **Small sample.** 39 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix?window=24h) | 5 | 69.40% ±56.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix?window=7d) | 32 | 51.45% ±16.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix) | 39 | 52.56% ±14.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/operationphoenix?window=all) | 39 | 52.56% ±14.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=operationphoenix) [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) [Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX) $1.49 $0.56 0.38x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-field-tested) [Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX) $1.49 $0.63 0.42x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-factory-new) [Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX) $1.49 $0.76 0.51x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [MAC-10 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-well-worn) [Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX) $1.49 $2.73 1.83x 2026-11-11 19:36 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-battle-scarred) [Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Chistoc-DeLuXXXXX) $1.49 $0.49 0.33x 2026-11-11 19:36 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) [Señor Nocturno](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Se%C3%B1or%20Nocturno) $1.49 $0.70 0.47x 2026-11-10 16:50 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-field-tested) [Prensad0](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Prensad0) $1.49 $0.53 0.36x 2026-11-10 16:50 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-minimal-wear) [Team\_habsulla](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Team_habsulla) $1.49 $0.58 0.39x 2026-11-10 16:50 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) [bakaprasepanama](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/bakaprasepanama) $1.49 $0.56 0.38x 2026-11-10 16:50 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-field-tested) [RI\_IM | Bloodycase.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/RI_IM%20%7C%20Bloodycase.com) $1.49 $0.53 0.36x 2026-11-09 03:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.49 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 52.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $52.56 on average: an expected loss of $47.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt