--- title: "Purple Friday Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Purple Friday Case ($0.31) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.62% over 8,900 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday rendered: 2026-11-11T22:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Purple Friday Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Purple Friday Case A case on Bloodycase (Fridays party cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday?window=all) Price · $0.31 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 75.62% · 8,900 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 76.80% ±3.77 2,113 openings 7 days · 74.92% ±1.92 7,638 openings 30 days · 75.62% ±1.76 8,900 openings since tracking started · 75.62% ±1.76 8,900 openings 72.5% 76.8% 81.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday?window=24h) | 2,113 | 76.80% ±3.77 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday?window=7d) | 7,638 | 74.92% ±1.92 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday) | 8,900 | 75.62% ±1.76 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/purple-friday?window=all) | 8,900 | 75.62% ±1.76 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=purple-friday) [SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bleached-field-tested) [Fressquito](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Fressquito) $0.31 $0.17 0.55x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mudder (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-field-tested) [MAMBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/MAMBA) $0.31 $0.10 0.32x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-minimal-wear) [Ewangelia](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Ewangelia) $0.31 $0.36 1.16x 2026-11-11 21:57 UTC [SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-field-tested) [Marc](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Marc) $0.31 $0.04 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:57 UTC [MAC-10 | Ensnared (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-battle-scarred) [Матвей коч голда](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%87%20%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B4%D0%B0) $0.31 $0.09 0.29x 2026-11-11 21:55 UTC [SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-well-worn) [Матвей коч голда](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%87%20%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B4%D0%B0) $0.31 $0.04 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:54 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) [116023913908479628413](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/116023913908479628413) $0.31 $0.18 0.58x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-well-worn) [116023913908479628413](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/116023913908479628413) $0.31 $0.11 0.35x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) [116023913908479628413](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/116023913908479628413) $0.31 $0.18 0.58x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC [XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-field-tested) [116023913908479628413](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/116023913908479628413) $0.31 $0.63 2.03x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.62 on average: an expected loss of $24.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt