--- title: "Recoil Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Recoil Case ($0.29) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.95% over 3,977 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case rendered: 2026-11-11T20:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Recoil Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Recoil Case A case on Bloodycase (CS2 Cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case?window=all) Price · $0.29 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 81.95% · 3,977 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 286 openings · below min 7 days · 80.85% ±3.74 3,366 openings 30 days · 81.95% ±3.48 3,977 openings since tracking started · 81.95% ±3.48 3,977 openings 74.0% 91.8% 109.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case?window=24h) | 286 | 91.62% ±17.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case?window=7d) | 3,366 | 80.85% ±3.74 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case) | 3,977 | 81.95% ±3.48 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/recoil-case?window=all) | 3,977 | 81.95% ±3.48 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=recoil-case) [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-well-worn) [Alv2607](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Alv2607) $0.29 $0.47 1.62x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC [UMP-45 | Roadblock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-roadblock-battle-scarred) [Alv2607](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Alv2607) $0.29 $0.10 0.34x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-factory-new) [Alv2607](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Alv2607) $0.29 $0.64 2.21x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC [UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-roadblock-field-tested) [Alv2607](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Alv2607) $0.29 $0.11 0.38x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-minimal-wear) [Alv2607](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Alv2607) $0.29 $0.20 0.69x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-minimal-wear) [PAJCA17](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/PAJCA17) $0.29 $0.15 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-well-worn) [-ilkku](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/-ilkku) $0.29 $3.74 12.90x 2026-11-11 18:42 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-battle-scarred) [-ilkku](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/-ilkku) $0.29 $0.10 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-field-tested) [-ilkku](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/-ilkku) $0.29 $0.11 0.38x 2026-11-11 18:38 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) [-ilkku](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/-ilkku) $0.29 $0.10 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.29 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.95 on average: an expected loss of $18.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt