---
title: "Red Shot Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Red Shot Case ($2.00) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.17% over 1,088 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Red Shot Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red)

# [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Red Shot Case

A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · — · no odds published

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.17% · 1,088 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 126 openings · below min

7 days · 875 openings · below min

30 days · 91.17% ±6.92 1,088 openings

since tracking started · 91.17% ±6.92 1,088 openings

59.0% 78.8% 98.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red?window=24h) | 126 | 73.72% ±13.9 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red?window=7d) | 875 | 90.84% ±7.10 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red) | 1,088 | 91.17% ±6.92 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/red?window=all) | 1,088 | 91.17% ±6.92 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone.

Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 14:04 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=red)

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [Donald](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Donald) $2.00 $3.02 1.51x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [HTKC](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/HTKC) $2.00 $0.25 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) [SerialAvenger](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/SerialAvenger) $2.00 $0.71 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC

[MAG-7 | Core Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-well-worn) [gulag.exe](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/gulag.exe) $2.00 $1.25 0.63x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC

[MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-multi-terrain-minimal-wear) [denn7s-x](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/denn7s-x) $2.00 $0.03 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:45 UTC

[Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-minimal-wear) [qjitkvezyarav](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/qjitkvezyarav) $2.00 $0.60 0.30x 2026-11-11 11:45 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) [VexSs69](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/VexSs69) $2.00 $5.50 2.75x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC

[MP7 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-field-tested) [Papagei](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Papagei) $2.00 $0.45 0.23x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC

[USP-S | Night Ops (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-well-worn) [✪SWAGy |](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%E2%9C%AASWAGy%20%7C) $2.00 $0.25 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) [Din Viesel](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Din%20Viesel) $2.00 $4.75 2.38x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | — | 0 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.17 on average: an expected loss of $8.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
