--- title: "Santa's Lollipop Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Santa's Lollipop Case ($0.69) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.24% over 3,783 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case rendered: 2026-11-12T05:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Santa's Lollipop Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Santa's Lollipop Case A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case?window=all) Price · $0.69 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 82.24% · 3,783 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 374 openings · below min 7 days · 84.07% ±3.34 2,820 openings 30 days · 82.24% ±2.77 3,783 openings since tracking started · 82.24% ±2.77 3,783 openings 76.0% 84.8% 93.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case?window=24h) | 374 | 84.85% ±8.18 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case?window=7d) | 2,820 | 84.07% ±3.34 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case) | 3,783 | 82.24% ±2.77 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/santas-lollipop-case?window=all) | 3,783 | 82.24% ±2.77 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 12 Nov, 02:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=santas-lollipop-case) [AUG | Surveillance (Minimal Wear) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-surveillance-minimal-wear) [PROKING](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/PROKING) $0.69 $1.05 1.52x 2026-11-12 05:17 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-well-worn) [Top1derevni](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Top1derevni) $0.69 $0.04 0.06x 2026-11-12 05:17 UTC [AUG | Triqua (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-well-worn) [#hidden#](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%23hidden%23) $0.69 $0.24 0.35x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-minimal-wear) [K r 7 p t ø](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/K%20r%207%20p%20t%20%26oslash%3B) $0.69 $0.39 0.57x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [XM1014 | Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.69 $1.35 1.96x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-battle-scarred) [Sch](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Sch) $0.69 $0.73 1.06x 2026-11-12 04:49 UTC [G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-digital-mesh-well-worn) [101216612737180265834](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/101216612737180265834) $0.69 $0.52 0.75x 2026-11-12 04:48 UTC [Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-man-o-war-minimal-wear) [Rospiździec2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Rospi%C5%BAdziec2000) $0.69 $0.31 0.45x 2026-11-12 04:45 UTC [G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-digital-mesh-well-worn) [FearlesS](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/FearlesS) $0.69 $0.52 0.75x 2026-11-12 04:45 UTC [G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-digital-mesh-well-worn) [Rospiździec2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Rospi%C5%BAdziec2000) $0.69 $0.52 0.75x 2026-11-12 04:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.24 on average: an expected loss of $17.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt