--- title: "Serpent Festival Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Serpent Festival Case ($3.00) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 105.06% over 457 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case rendered: 2026-11-12T11:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Serpent Festival Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Serpent Festival Case A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case?window=all) Price · $3.00 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 105.06% · 457 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 308 openings · below min 30 days · 457 openings · below min since tracking started · 457 openings · below min 41.5% 81.8% 122.0% **Small sample.** 457 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case?window=24h) | 68 | 57.22% ±15.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case?window=7d) | 308 | 106.00% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case) | 457 | 105.06% ±13.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/serpent-festival-case?window=all) | 457 | 105.06% ±13.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 12 Nov, 08:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=serpent-festival-case) [Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-well-worn) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $3.00 $0.43 0.14x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) [✞4tito✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%E2%9C%9E4tito%E2%9C%9E) $3.00 $3.14 1.05x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $3.00 $5.48 1.83x 2026-11-12 10:39 UTC [SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) [PHILLEBOII](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/PHILLEBOII) $3.00 $2.90 0.97x 2026-11-12 10:39 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) [juanflatroo](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/juanflatroo) $3.00 $2.56 0.85x 2026-11-12 10:39 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-field-tested) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $3.00 $0.52 0.17x 2026-11-12 10:11 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) [muuuuuućka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/muuuuuu%C4%87ka%E2%99%BF) $3.00 $0.60 0.20x 2026-11-12 10:11 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) [silva](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/silva) $3.00 $3.14 1.05x 2026-11-12 10:11 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) [pexSo Casehot.net](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/pexSo%20Casehot.net) $3.00 $3.14 1.05x 2026-11-12 10:11 UTC [MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-factory-new) [YunuS](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/YunuS) $3.00 $10.76 3.59x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 105.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $105.06 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt