---
title: "Souvenir Packages Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Souvenir Packages Case ($49.99) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 55.47% over 371 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Souvenir Packages Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case)

# [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Souvenir Packages Case

A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case?window=all)

Price · $49.99

Advertised RTP · — · no odds published

Observed RTP, 30d · 55.47% · 371 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 27 openings · below min

7 days · 270 openings · below min

30 days · 371 openings · below min

since tracking started · 371 openings · below min

48.5% 78.3% 108.0%

**Small sample.** 371 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case?window=24h) | 27 | 84.94% ±22.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case?window=7d) | 270 | 55.24% ±6.25 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case) | 371 | 55.47% ±5.31 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/souvenir-packages-case?window=all) | 371 | 55.47% ±5.31 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone.

Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 20:04 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=souvenir-packages-case)

[Getaway Sally | The Professionals agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/getaway-sally-the-professionals) [MAMBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/MAMBA) $49.99 $80.33 1.61x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Vypa Sista of the Revolution | Guerrilla Warfare agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/vypa-sista-of-the-revolution-guerrilla-warfare) [#hidden#](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%23hidden%23) $49.99 $44.52 0.89x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[ESL One Cologne 2015 Dust II Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2015-dust-ii-souvenir-package) [GHEXAA](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/GHEXAA) $49.99 $66.24 1.33x 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC

[Atlanta 2017 Train Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/atlanta-2017-train-souvenir-package) [Pszczolka](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Pszczolka) $49.99 $62.70 1.25x 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC

[MLG Columbus 2016 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mlg-columbus-2016-mirage-souvenir-package) [Philippe Echtebaise](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Philippe%20Echtebaise) $49.99 $72.36 1.45x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC

[Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/atlanta-2017-dust-ii-souvenir-package) [|KV| POLAT ALEMDAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%7CKV%7C%20POLAT%20ALEMDAR) $49.99 $39.21 0.78x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Polysoup (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-field-tested) [ArGoN](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/ArGoN) $49.99 $10.36 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-minimal-wear) [CiguliMemolivv](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/CiguliMemolivv) $49.99 $15.06 0.30x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC

[DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Inferno Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-cluj-napoca-2015-inferno-souvenir-package) [WolfieMC](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/WolfieMC) $49.99 $59.45 1.19x 2026-11-11 19:54 UTC

[Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/antwerp-2022-nuke-souvenir-package) [Ptr](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Ptr) $49.99 $4.80 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $49.99 | — | 0 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 55.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $55.47 on average: an expected loss of $44.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
