--- title: "The Lake Collection Case on Bloodycase: odds & RTP" description: "The Lake Collection Case ($0.20) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 69.64% over 2,058 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection rendered: 2026-11-12T04:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [The Lake Collection Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · The Lake Collection Case A case on Bloodycase (Collections cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection?window=all) Price · $0.20 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 69.64% · 2,058 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 223 openings · below min 7 days · 70.03% ±5.22 1,401 openings 30 days · 69.64% ±4.23 2,058 openings since tracking started · 69.64% ±4.23 2,058 openings 50.5% 63.3% 76.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection?window=24h) | 223 | 63.36% ±12.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection?window=7d) | 1,401 | 70.03% ±5.22 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection) | 2,058 | 69.64% ±4.23 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-lake-collection?window=all) | 2,058 | 69.64% ±4.23 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 12 Nov, 02:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=the-lake-collection) [PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-ops-battle-scarred) [Рамзан Кадыров](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%D0%A0%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B7%D0%B0%D0%BD%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%B4%D1%8B%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.20 $0.07 0.35x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) [gustavogpa](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/gustavogpa) $0.20 $0.03 0.15x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-battle-scarred) [pazdziochpatryk35](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/pazdziochpatryk35) $0.20 $0.05 0.25x 2026-11-12 02:06 UTC [P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-well-worn) [Oruga de Natgeo](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Oruga%20de%20Natgeo) $0.20 $0.18 0.90x 2026-11-12 02:06 UTC [AUG | Storm (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-factory-new) [matrix-](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/matrix-) $0.20 $1.11 5.55x 2026-11-12 01:19 UTC [P90 | Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-factory-new) [musune](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/musune) $0.20 $0.74 3.70x 2026-11-12 01:19 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) [SKINS | Bloodycase.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/SKINS%20%7C%20Bloodycase.com) $0.20 $0.05 0.25x 2026-11-12 01:07 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-battle-scarred) [102704920540513577662](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/102704920540513577662) $0.20 $0.06 0.30x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) [102704920540513577662](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/102704920540513577662) $0.20 $0.19 0.95x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-well-worn) [102704920540513577662](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/102704920540513577662) $0.20 $0.04 0.20x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.64 on average: an expected loss of $30.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt