---
title: "The Train 2025 Collection Case on Bloodycase: odds & RTP"
description: "The Train 2025 Collection Case ($9.99) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 66.80% over 439 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case
rendered: 2026-11-12T04:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [The Train 2025 Collection Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case)

# [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · The Train 2025 Collection Case

A case on Bloodycase (Collections cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case?window=all)

Price · $9.99

Advertised RTP · — · no odds published

Observed RTP, 30d · 66.80% · 439 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 39 openings · below min

7 days · 197 openings · below min

30 days · 439 openings · below min

since tracking started · 439 openings · below min

13.5% 48.8% 84.0%

**Small sample.** 439 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case?window=24h) | 39 | 42.01% ±28.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case?window=7d) | 197 | 30.82% ±7.98 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case) | 439 | 66.80% ±16.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/the-train-2025-collection-case?window=all) | 439 | 66.80% ±16.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone.

Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 12 Nov, 02:04 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=the-train-2025-collection-case)

[Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) [rileyfreemanyo1991](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/rileyfreemanyo1991) $9.99 $1.31 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:50 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) [kartalpapaz55](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/kartalpapaz55) $9.99 $1.31 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:50 UTC

[Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) [SilverStep](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/SilverStep) $9.99 $0.58 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) [nedim](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/nedim) $9.99 $0.99 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC

[Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-green-line-factory-new) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $9.99 $9.48 0.95x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[AWP | LongDog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-battle-scarred) [kikapanama](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/kikapanama) $9.99 $40.08 4.01x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) [RvP](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/RvP) $9.99 $4.92 0.49x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-minimal-wear) [JCantelli17](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/JCantelli17) $9.99 $0.34 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[P90 | Straight Dimes (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-straight-dimes-minimal-wear) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $9.99 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

[UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-late-night-transit-minimal-wear) [DasH](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/DasH) $9.99 $0.82 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.99 | — | 0 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.80 on average: an expected loss of $33.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
