--- title: "Toybox Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Toybox Case ($4.77) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 70.41% over 384 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case rendered: 2026-11-11T19:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Toybox Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case) # [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Toybox Case A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case?window=all) Price · $4.77 Advertised RTP · — · no odds published Observed RTP, 30d · 70.41% · 384 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 52 openings · below min 7 days · 312 openings · below min 30 days · 384 openings · below min since tracking started · 384 openings · below min 33.5% 59.3% 85.0% **Small sample.** 384 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case?window=24h) | 52 | 46.41% ±12.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case?window=7d) | 312 | 73.21% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case) | 384 | 70.41% ±9.57 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/toybox-case?window=all) | 384 | 70.41% ±9.57 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone. Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 14:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=toybox-case) [M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-factory-new) [-Makazze-](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/-Makazze-) $4.77 $0.37 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-battle-scarred) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $4.77 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-battle-scarred) [#hidden#](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%23hidden%23) $4.77 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $4.77 $4.05 0.85x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-field-tested) [Alotta Fagina](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Alotta%20Fagina) $4.77 $0.15 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) [eli](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/eli) $4.77 $5.85 1.23x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) [Knopers](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Knopers) $4.77 $2.67 0.56x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) [alejo](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/alejo) $4.77 $7.49 1.57x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-factory-new) [.ANDREI.](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/.ANDREI.) $4.77 $1.16 0.24x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) [nahh](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/nahh) $4.77 $0.65 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.77 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 70.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $70.41 on average: an expected loss of $29.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt