---
title: "Vibe Case case on Bloodycase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Vibe Case ($4.99) on Bloodycase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.56% over 567 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) / [Vibe Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case)

# [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) · Vibe Case

A case on Bloodycase (New cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case?window=all)

Price · $4.99

Advertised RTP · — · no odds published

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.56% · 567 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 136 openings · below min

7 days · 411 openings · below min

30 days · 567 openings · below min

since tracking started · 567 openings · below min

64.0% 77.3% 90.5%

**Small sample.** 567 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case?window=24h) | 136 | 77.26% ±12.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case?window=7d) | 411 | 73.96% ±7.07 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case) | 567 | 72.56% ±5.83 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/bloodycase/vibe-case?window=all) | 567 | 72.56% ±5.83 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No odds published** Bloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone.

Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems`, 11 Nov, 14:04 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=bloodycase&case=vibe-case)

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $4.99 $1.51 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-field-tested) [kikapanama](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/kikapanama) $4.99 $2.60 0.52x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $4.99 $1.51 0.30x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-battle-scarred) [NormanSuperKalas](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/NormanSuperKalas) $4.99 $1.07 0.21x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC

[P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-well-worn) [我操 盒!愛麗絲錯了](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%E6%88%91%E6%93%8D%20%E7%9B%92!%E6%84%9B%E9%BA%97%E7%B5%B2%E9%8C%AF%E4%BA%86) $4.99 $5.68 1.14x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [&lt; blank &gt;](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/%26lt%3B%20blank%20%26gt%3B) $4.99 $1.51 0.30x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC

[AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $4.99 $8.24 1.65x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-battle-scarred) [Dedereco](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Dedereco) $4.99 $1.07 0.21x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-factory-new) [Global](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/Global) $4.99 $2.50 0.50x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-factory-new) [keith](https://gambatracker.com/players/bloodycase/keith) $4.99 $2.50 0.50x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.99 | — | 0 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.56 on average: an expected loss of $27.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
