---
title: "AK-47 JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "AK-47 JOKER ($231.92) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 141 items with odds, observed 74.30% over 1,233 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [AK-47 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · AK-47 JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker?window=all)

Price · $231.92

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $202.93 from 141 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.30% · 1,233 openings, odds method

Variance · 15.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 36 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90 openings · below min

7 days · 73.44% ±24.63 997 openings

30 days · 74.30% ±22.10 1,233 openings

since tracking started · 74.30% ±22.10 1,233 openings

20.0% 102.5% 185.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker?window=24h) | 90 | 102.40% ±81.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker?window=7d) | 997 | 73.44% ±24.6 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker) | 1,233 | 74.30% ±22.1 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47-joker?window=all) | 1,233 | 74.30% ±22.1 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 141 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,237 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $5,630 | 77.0% | 28 | 34.4 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $399 | 1.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $389 | 1.8% | 0 | 11.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $288 | 1.3% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $256 | 0.7% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $216 | 0.7% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $188 | 0.9% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 144 | $171 | 0.6% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $171 | 0.6% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $153 | 0.5% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 144 | $152 | 0.5% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $151 | 0.4% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $145 | 0.5% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $133 | 0.6% | 0 | 11.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $126 | 0.6% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $126 | 0.6% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 144 | $124 | 0.4% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $121 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $115 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $113 | 0.4% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $97.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 11.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $90.45 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $89.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $85.04 | 0.4% | 0 | 11.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $83.98 | 0.3% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $79.79 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $74.13 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $68.70 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $65.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $63.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $60.76 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $60.37 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $59.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 144 | $59.23 | 0.2% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 144 | $57.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $56.47 | 0.4% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $55.88 | 0.3% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $55.48 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $54.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $53.66 | 0.4% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $51.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $51.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $50.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $45.67 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $43.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $43.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $41.59 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $41.26 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $41.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $38.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $37.16 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $35.24 | 0.2% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $35.13 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $32.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $31.33 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $31.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $30.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $30.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $30.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $25.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $25.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $19.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $18.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $18.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $18.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $18.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 17.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $17.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $17.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $16.81 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $16.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $16.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $13.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $13.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $10.48 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $10.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $9.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $9.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $9.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $8.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $8.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $8.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $7.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $7.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $7.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $6.98 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $6.96 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) | 1 in 144 | $6.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $6.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $6.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $6.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $5.75 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $5.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $5.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $5.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $5.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $5.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $4.93 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $4.62 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $4.54 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $4.50 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $4.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $4.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $4.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $3.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $3.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 144 | $3.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $3.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $3.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $2.77 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $2.54 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $2.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $2.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $2.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $2.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $2.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $2.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $2.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $1.96 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $1.91 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $1.85 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $1.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $0.95 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $0.77 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $0.76 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $0.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $0.63 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $0.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $0.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) | 1 in 180 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $0.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $0.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $0.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/ak-47-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $245 $6,009 24.52x 2026-11-06 11:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [KOD SOUL](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/KOD%20SOUL) $245 $6,009 24.52x 2026-11-06 11:46 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $245 $6,009 24.52x 2026-11-06 11:44 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [KOD SOUL](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/KOD%20SOUL) $245 $6,009 24.52x 2026-11-06 11:44 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $245 $6,009 24.52x 2026-11-06 11:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [KOD SOUL](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/KOD%20SOUL) $245 $6,009 24.52x 2026-11-06 11:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $245 $6,009 24.53x 2026-11-05 21:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [17curses](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/17curses) $239 $5,835 24.41x 2026-11-08 19:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [\* HFoJ \* GameOver #](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/*%20HFoJ%20*%20%20GameOver%20%20%23-76561198067627714) $239 $5,835 24.40x 2026-11-07 09:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [DMG](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/DMG) $239 $5,825 24.41x 2026-11-09 09:03 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=ak-47-joker)

[AK-47 | Nightwish weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish) Hidden $232 $75.95 0.33x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate) Hidden $232 $4.28 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Cartel weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $232 $21.82 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Searing Rage weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage) Hidden $232 $11.34 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport) Hidden $232 $155 0.67x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod) Hidden $232 $20.13 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider) [Lupa](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Lupa) $232 $62.16 0.27x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $232 $5,630 24.28x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge) Hidden $232 $11.98 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build) Hidden $232 $3.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $232 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $232 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $232 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $244 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $239 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $239 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $239 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $239 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $239 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $245 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $245 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $228 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $228 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $228 | 87.50% | 141 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 20.2% legendary 0.6% classified 11.6% red 6.1% pink 8.0% Ancient 3.4% rare 2.8% restricted 8.1% Legendary 4.3% Covert 1.4% mil spec 3.1% Mythical 2.9% violet 2.9% blue 6.9% industrial 1.7% #d32ee6 0.7% #d32ce6 1.1% Classified 0.9% #4b69ff 1.7% milspec 1.1% Rare 2.8% common 1.1% #5e98d9 1.1% Uncommon 3.3% blueLight 1.1% light blue 0.6% #87c7ff 0.6% best hit $6,009 (24.52x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt