---
title: "AK-47 case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AK-47 ($6.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 141 items with odds, observed 88.77% over 21.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · AK-47

A case on Casehug (CS2 WEAPONS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $5.25 from 141 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.77% · 21.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 19.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.76% ±18.09 2,266 openings

7 days · 89.54% ±6.59 18.3K openings

30 days · 88.77% ±6.03 21.4K openings

since tracking started · 88.77% ±6.03 21.4K openings

65.0% 83.7% 102.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47?window=24h) | 2,266 | 83.76% ±18.1 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47?window=7d) | 18.3K | 89.54% ±6.59 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47) | 21.4K | 88.77% ±6.03 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ak-47?window=all) | 21.4K | 88.77% ±6.03 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 141 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50,000 | $5,630 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $398 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $383 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $295 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $268 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $200 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $193 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $189 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $172 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $168 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $155 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 16,667 | $152 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $147 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $131 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $126 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 12,500 | $124 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $122 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 11,111 | $122 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $115 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $115 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $104 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) | 1 in 25,000 | $93.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $93.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $88.63 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $83.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $81.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $74.10 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $71.37 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $67.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $64.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $60.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $60.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $59.09 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $57.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $55.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $55.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $55.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $55.23 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $54.85 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $54.68 | 0.3% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $53.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $51.70 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $51.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $44.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $43.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $42.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $42.09 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 4,167 | $42.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $39.47 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,545 | $37.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $36.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $36.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 1,961 | $35.60 | 0.3% | 0 | 10.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,030 | $32.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $31.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,125 | $31.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $30.76 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $28.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 8.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $25.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $24.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $24.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 192 | $20.53 | 2.0% | 0 | 111.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $19.23 | 2.2% | 0 | 129.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $18.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 21.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $18.75 | 2.2% | 0 | 133.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $18.13 | 3.1% | 0 | 191.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 299 | $17.60 | 1.1% | 0 | 71.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $17.54 | 2.4% | 0 | 155.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 156 | $16.78 | 2.1% | 0 | 138.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 385 | $16.28 | 0.8% | 0 | 55.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $15.51 | 2.2% | 0 | 161.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $13.37 | 2.6% | 0 | 215.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $13.14 | 5.1% | 0 | 435.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $10.97 | 3.8% | 0 | 387.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $10.77 | 6.2% | 0 | 648.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) | 1 in 202 | $10.48 | 1.0% | 0 | 106.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $9.77 | 4.4% | 0 | 503.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 163 | $9.26 | 1.1% | 0 | 132.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $8.86 | 1.1% | 0 | 133.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $8.58 | 1.2% | 0 | 162.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $7.89 | 0.9% | 0 | 122.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $7.37 | 1.3% | 0 | 192.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $7.25 | 1.9% | 0 | 299.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $7.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $6.95 | 2.4% | 0 | 394.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $6.92 | 2.0% | 0 | 328.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $6.67 | 2.6% | 0 | 441.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $6.43 | 2.7% | 0 | 475.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $6.30 | 2.2% | 0 | 396.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $6.03 | 2.8% | 0 | 524.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $5.88 | 3.9% | 0 | 738.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $5.69 | 2.3% | 0 | 465.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $5.66 | 2.4% | 0 | 470.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $5.56 | 4.1% | 0 | 830.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $5.51 | 2.1% | 0 | 434.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $5.20 | 2.6% | 0 | 556.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $4.85 | 2.4% | 0 | 559.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $4.70 | 0.1% | 0 | 27.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $4.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 346 | $4.61 | 0.3% | 0 | 62.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $4.50 | 0.3% | 0 | 64.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 325 | $4.43 | 0.3% | 0 | 66.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 302 | $4.24 | 0.3% | 0 | 71.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 571 | $3.79 | 0.1% | 0 | 37.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 508 | $3.59 | 0.1% | 0 | 42.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 279 | $3.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 77.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 279 | $3.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 77.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 439 | $3.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 48.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 203 | $2.71 | 0.3% | 0 | 105.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-well-worn) | 1 in 303 | $2.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 70.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 272 | $2.45 | 0.2% | 0 | 78.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $2.43 | 0.2% | 0 | 76.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-field-tested) | 1 in 253 | $2.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 85.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 240 | $2.25 | 0.2% | 0 | 89.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-well-worn) | 1 in 232 | $2.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 92.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 1 in 658 | $2.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 32.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $2.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 102.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 195 | $1.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 110.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 195 | $1.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 110.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $1.81 | 0.1% | 0 | 38.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 209 | $1.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 102.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-well-worn) | 1 in 170 | $0.93 | 0.1% | 0 | 126.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $0.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 167.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $0.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 178.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $0.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 218.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $0.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 218.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $0.58 | 0.1% | 0 | 237.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-factory-new) | 1 in 488 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 44.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) | 1 in 267 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 80.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 134.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 325.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 385.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $0.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 442.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $0.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 610.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 778.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 778.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 778.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 621.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 621.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 737.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 989.3 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/ak-47`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.00 $5,835 972.5x 2026-11-07 14:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=ak-47)

[AK-47 | Olive Polycam weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam) [zizi3110 kick/zizi3110](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/zizi3110%20kick%2Fzizi3110) $6.00 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Searing Rage weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage) [zizi3110 kick/zizi3110](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/zizi3110%20kick%2Fzizi3110) $6.00 $5.82 0.97x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled) [Ördög](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%C3%96rd%C3%B6g) $6.00 $6.07 1.01x 2026-11-11 15:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh) [Ördög](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%C3%96rd%C3%B6g) $6.00 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Red Laminate weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate) Hidden $6.00 $67.54 11.26x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) Hidden $6.00 $7.95 1.33x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted) [zizi3110 kick/zizi3110](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/zizi3110%20kick%2Fzizi3110) $6.00 $0.92 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge) [Ördög](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%C3%96rd%C3%B6g) $6.00 $7.81 1.30x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh) [Ördög](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%C3%96rd%C3%B6g) $6.00 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [Ördög](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%C3%96rd%C3%B6g) $6.00 $7.95 1.33x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $6.00 | 87.50% | 141 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $6.00 | 87.44% | 141 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $6.00 | 87.25% | 141 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $6.00 | 87.47% | 141 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $6.00 | 87.80% | 141 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.00 | 87.90% | 141 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $6.00 | 87.80% | 141 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $6.00 | 87.90% | 141 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $6.00 | 87.76% | 141 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $6.00 | 87.36% | 141 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $6.00 | 87.57% | 141 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $6.00 | 87.76% | 141 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.00 | 87.71% | 141 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $6.00 | 87.39% | 141 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $6.00 | 87.35% | 141 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $6.00 | 87.66% | 141 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% legendary 0.0% classified 4.4% red 0.1% pink 18.5% Ancient 0.1% rare 1.4% restricted 4.3% Legendary 7.5% Covert 0.0% mil spec 2.4% Mythical 3.0% violet 3.5% blue 5.1% industrial 4.3% #d32ce6 4.1% #d32ee6 2.1% Classified 3.4% #4b69ff 2.2% milspec 0.8% Rare 2.0% common 0.7% #5e98d9 2.3% Uncommon 14.8% blueLight 5.7% #87c7ff 3.6% light blue 3.4% best hit $5,835 (972.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt