---
title: "AWP JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AWP JOKER ($910.52) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.50% from 82 items with odds, observed 81.23% over 447 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [AWP JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · AWP JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker?window=all)

Price · $910.52

Advertised RTP · 90.50% · EV $824.02 from 82 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.23% · 447 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 149.49% ±51.06 108 openings

7 days · 82.27% ±28.74 341 openings

30 days · 81.23% ±25.04 447 openings

since tracking started · 81.23% ±25.04 447 openings

53.0% 127.0% 201.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker?window=24h) | 108 | 149.49% ±51.1 | +2.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker?window=7d) | 341 | 82.27% ±28.7 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker) | 447 | 81.23% ±25.0 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp-joker?window=all) | 447 | 81.23% ±25.0 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 82 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 557 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $10.3K | 44.7% | 13 | 19.9 | 0.65× |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $8,950 | 38.8% | 20 | 19.9 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $1,316 | 5.7% | 17 | 19.9 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $793 | 3.4% | 24 | 19.9 | 1.21× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $616 | 2.7% | 29 | 19.9 | 1.46× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $320 | 1.4% | 19 | 19.9 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $148 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $95.90 | 0.4% | 17 | 19.9 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $93.02 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $71.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $71.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $63.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $60.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $58.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $58.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $57.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $55.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $55.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $54.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $54.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $54.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $53.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $53.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $53.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $48.44 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $45.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $44.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $44.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $42.72 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $42.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $41.83 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $41.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $40.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $40.54 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $38.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $37.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $35.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $34.98 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $31.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $29.59 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $27.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $21.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $21.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $21.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $19.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $17.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $16.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $15.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $14.72 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $13.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $12.50 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $11.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $11.05 | 0.0% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $9.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $8.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $7.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $7.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $6.74 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $6.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $5.95 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $5.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $5.57 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $4.82 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $4.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $4.53 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $4.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $4.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $4.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $4.36 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $4.13 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $3.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $3.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $3.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $3.56 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $1.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $1.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $0.83 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $0.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/awp-joker`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) [Brugalini14](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Brugalini14) $917 $10.3K 11.26x 2026-11-08 19:17 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $917 $10.3K 11.26x 2026-11-06 19:19 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $917 $10.3K 11.25x 2026-11-04 16:44 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $917 $10.3K 11.25x 2026-11-04 16:43 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) [XM1NN](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/XM1NN) $911 $10.3K 11.32x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $911 $10.3K 11.32x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $911 $10.3K 11.32x 2026-11-10 23:06 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $911 $10.3K 11.32x 2026-11-10 23:06 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $911 $10.3K 11.32x 2026-11-10 23:06 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $909 $10.3K 11.30x 2026-11-09 15:22 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=awp-joker)

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $911 $1,316 1.45x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy) Hidden $911 $6.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $911 $616 0.68x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [Radziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Radziu) $911 $616 0.68x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton) Hidden $911 $12.57 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $911 $616 0.68x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[AWP | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream) Hidden $911 $53.12 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill) [Radziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Radziu) $911 $0.51 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[AWP | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled) Hidden $911 $9.24 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton) Hidden $911 $12.57 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $911 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $911 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $909 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $916 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $909 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $917 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $910 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $920 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $917 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $918 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $908 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $917 | 90.50% | 82 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $908 | 90.50% | 82 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 39.6% red 13.7% rare 4.8% Ancient 5.1% restricted 7.9% pink 6.5% classified 5.0% Legendary 3.2% uncommon 3.0% Mythical 0.7% Classified 2.5% #d32ce6 2.4% violet 1.4% #8847ff 0.7% milspec 1.4% blue 1.4% Mil Spec 0.7% best hit $10.3K (11.26x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.50 on average: an expected loss of $9.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt