---
title: "AWP case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AWP ($10.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 82 items with odds, observed 88.45% over 13.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · AWP

A case on Casehug (CS2 WEAPONS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $8.75 from 82 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.45% · 13.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 47.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.48% ±29.31 2,116 openings

7 days · 81.88% ±12.83 11.1K openings

30 days · 88.45% ±11.62 13.5K openings

since tracking started · 88.45% ±11.62 13.5K openings

49.5% 79.5% 109.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp?window=24h) | 2,116 | 79.48% ±29.3 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp?window=7d) | 11.1K | 81.88% ±12.8 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp) | 13.5K | 88.45% ±11.6 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/awp?window=all) | 13.5K | 88.45% ±11.6 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 82 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $10.3K | 2.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $8,950 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $1,316 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $793 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $616 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $320 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $148 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $95.90 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $93.02 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $71.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $71.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $63.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $60.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $58.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $58.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $57.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $55.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $55.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $54.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $54.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $54.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $53.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $53.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $53.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $48.44 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $45.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $44.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $44.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $42.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $42.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $41.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $41.52 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $40.77 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $40.54 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $38.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $37.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $35.86 | 4.1% | 0 | 135.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $34.98 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $31.49 | 4.7% | 0 | 175.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $29.59 | 5.0% | 0 | 198.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $27.19 | 4.7% | 0 | 204.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $21.97 | 2.4% | 0 | 128.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $21.89 | 4.3% | 0 | 234.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $21.42 | 4.3% | 0 | 238.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $19.60 | 4.8% | 0 | 292.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 145 | $17.07 | 1.3% | 0 | 93.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $16.00 | 3.3% | 0 | 240.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $15.10 | 3.5% | 0 | 270.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $14.72 | 5.1% | 0 | 407.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $13.35 | 1.4% | 0 | 128.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $12.50 | 2.2% | 0 | 204.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $11.52 | 1.5% | 0 | 154.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $11.05 | 11.9% | 0 | 1274.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $9.67 | 1.0% | 0 | 125.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $8.73 | 1.1% | 0 | 151.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $7.34 | 1.2% | 0 | 189.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $7.10 | 1.2% | 0 | 198.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $6.74 | 1.2% | 0 | 217.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $6.09 | 0.7% | 0 | 131.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $5.95 | 0.8% | 0 | 152.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $5.89 | 1.1% | 0 | 215.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $5.57 | 1.0% | 0 | 211.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $4.82 | 1.2% | 0 | 284.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $4.68 | 1.2% | 0 | 296.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $4.53 | 0.9% | 0 | 223.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $4.43 | 1.5% | 0 | 392.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $4.38 | 1.1% | 0 | 294.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $4.38 | 0.9% | 0 | 234.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $4.36 | 1.1% | 0 | 296.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $4.13 | 0.9% | 0 | 254.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $3.81 | 0.8% | 0 | 252.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $3.81 | 0.8% | 0 | 252.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $3.68 | 0.8% | 0 | 266.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $3.56 | 1.6% | 0 | 522.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $1.58 | 0.5% | 0 | 392.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $1.24 | 0.6% | 0 | 550.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.14 | 0.6% | 0 | 619.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $0.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 212.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.52 | 0.2% | 0 | 409.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.44 | 0.2% | 0 | 516.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 591.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 606.0 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/awp`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $8,925 892.5x 2026-11-04 12:29 UTC

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $1,309 130.9x 2026-11-09 19:08 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [woda anusowa](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/woda%20anusowa) $10.00 $801 80.07x 2026-11-09 00:09 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 $630 63.00x 2026-11-05 18:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=awp)

[AWP | Duality weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality) [クレツィク CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E3%82%AF%E3%83%AC%E3%83%84%E3%82%A3%E3%82%AF%20%20CS2.ME) $10.00 $5.18 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper) Hidden $10.00 $1.29 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Chromatic Aberration weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration) Hidden $10.00 $39.45 3.95x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton) Hidden $10.00 $6.62 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Elite Build weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build) [GapKac](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/GapKac) $10.00 $12.68 1.27x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill) [クレツィク CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E3%82%AF%E3%83%AC%E3%83%84%E3%82%A3%E3%82%AF%20%20CS2.ME) $10.00 $0.46 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy) [クレツィク CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E3%82%AF%E3%83%AC%E3%83%84%E3%82%A3%E3%82%AF%20%20CS2.ME) $10.00 $5.12 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill) [クレツィク CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E3%82%AF%E3%83%AC%E3%83%84%E3%82%A3%E3%82%AF%20%20CS2.ME) $10.00 $0.46 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton) Hidden $10.00 $6.62 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy) Hidden $10.00 $5.12 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $10.00 | 87.50% | 82 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $10.00 | 87.46% | 82 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $10.00 | 87.09% | 82 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $10.00 | 87.57% | 82 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $10.00 | 87.68% | 82 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $10.00 | 87.52% | 82 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $10.00 | 87.68% | 82 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $10.00 | 87.33% | 82 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $10.00 | 87.52% | 82 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $10.00 | 87.52% | 82 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $10.00 | 87.29% | 82 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $10.00 | 87.28% | 82 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $10.00 | 87.47% | 82 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $10.00 | 87.28% | 82 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $10.00 | 87.33% | 82 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $10.00 | 87.75% | 82 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $10.00 | 87.33% | 82 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $10.00 | 87.75% | 82 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $10.00 | 87.51% | 82 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $10.00 | 87.68% | 82 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $10.00 | 87.44% | 82 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $10.00 | 87.68% | 82 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $10.00 | 87.44% | 82 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% red 4.0% rare 3.2% Ancient 0.1% restricted 17.8% pink 14.1% classified 11.3% Legendary 3.8% uncommon 4.5% Mythical 1.5% Classified 10.4% #d32ce6 5.3% violet 4.3% #8847ff 2.2% milspec 5.9% blue 6.9% Mil Spec 4.5% best hit $8,925 (892.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt