---
title: "BABUSHKA JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "BABUSHKA JOKER ($313.37) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 72 items with odds, observed 90.40% over 349 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [BABUSHKA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · BABUSHKA JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker?window=all)

Price · $313.37

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $274.20 from 72 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.40% · 349 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 60 openings · below min

7 days · 94.01% ±13.63 258 openings

30 days · 90.40% ±11.70 349 openings

since tracking started · 90.40% ±11.70 349 openings

62.5% 90.5% 118.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker?window=24h) | 60 | 90.54% ±27.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker?window=7d) | 258 | 94.01% ±13.6 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker) | 349 | 90.40% ±11.7 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker?window=all) | 349 | 90.40% ±11.7 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 387 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $2,093 | 18.2% | 13 | 9.2 | 1.41× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $1,139 | 9.9% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $719 | 6.2% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $618 | 5.4% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $607 | 5.3% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $476 | 4.1% | 2 | 9.2 | 0.22× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $429 | 3.7% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $368 | 3.2% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $367 | 3.2% | 16 | 9.2 | 1.74× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $337 | 2.9% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $324 | 0.9% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $318 | 2.8% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $267 | 2.3% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $262 | 2.3% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 210 | $241 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $231 | 2.0% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.09× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $226 | 0.7% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $217 | 1.9% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $191 | 1.7% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $176 | 1.5% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $170 | 1.5% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.09× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $170 | 1.5% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $162 | 0.5% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $162 | 1.4% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $159 | 1.4% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $152 | 1.3% | 13 | 9.2 | 1.41× |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $150 | 0.6% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $140 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $136 | 1.2% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $119 | 1.0% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $117 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $109 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $108 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $107 | 0.9% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $105 | 0.9% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $95.90 | 0.8% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $95.58 | 0.8% | 13 | 9.2 | 1.41× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $91.77 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $91.04 | 0.8% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 210 | $90.24 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 210 | $86.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $84.79 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $83.98 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $80.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $75.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $74.56 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 210 | $74.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $71.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $70.53 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $69.57 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $68.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $65.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $65.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $63.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $63.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $60.13 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $59.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $59.23 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $56.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $55.85 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $54.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 126 | $54.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $53.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $52.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $51.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $50.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 126 | $49.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $48.70 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $48.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $46.01 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $38.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $29.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/babushka-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $320 $2,263 7.06x 2026-11-03 20:52 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [ziomek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziomek) $320 $2,263 7.06x 2026-11-03 20:51 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $319 $2,221 6.95x 2026-11-06 19:51 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Kuba](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Kuba) $319 $2,221 6.95x 2026-11-06 19:51 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [BOMBÁSZFORMÁSZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/BOMB%C3%81SZFORM%C3%81SZ) $320 $2,202 6.88x 2026-11-05 21:03 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Blackfox](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Blackfox) $320 $2,202 6.88x 2026-11-05 20:50 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 $2,093 6.68x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 $2,093 6.68x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $308 $1,956 6.36x 2026-11-10 18:28 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Ku\_Ba](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Ku_Ba) $308 $1,956 6.36x 2026-11-10 18:27 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=babushka-joker)

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 $618 1.97x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 $607 1.94x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 $231 0.74x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [RzygorzutCS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/RzygorzutCS2.ME) $313 $318 1.01x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed) Hidden $313 $86.07 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 $2,093 6.68x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $313 $105 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Radziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Radziu) $313 $191 0.61x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 $231 0.74x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler) Hidden $313 $101 0.32x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $313 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $308 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $310 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $311 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $319 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $313 | 87.36% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $313 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 6.8% sunny 11.9% epic 4.8% #ffd700 2.4% covert 42.6% classified 7.1% Immortal 2.4% restricted 10.7% Covert 8.3% red 1.2% Ancient 0.6% Mythical 1.2% best hit $2,263 (7.06x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt