---
title: "CACHE BACK JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "CACHE BACK JOKER ($57.99) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 68 items with odds, observed 79.03% over 1,687 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [CACHE BACK JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · CACHE BACK JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker?window=all)

Price · $57.99

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $50.74 from 68 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.03% · 1,687 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 66.23% ±25.46 287 openings

7 days · 78.91% ±11.57 1,399 openings

30 days · 79.03% ±10.51 1,687 openings

since tracking started · 79.03% ±10.51 1,687 openings

40.0% 66.3% 92.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker?window=24h) | 287 | 66.23% ±25.5 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker?window=7d) | 1,399 | 78.91% ±11.6 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker) | 1,687 | 79.03% ±10.5 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker?window=all) | 1,687 | 79.03% ±10.5 | −1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,699 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 26 | $595 | 45.1% | 56 | 65.3 | 0.86× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $318 | 24.1% | 53 | 65.3 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $138 | 10.5% | 77 | 65.3 | 1.18× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $80.14 | 3.0% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $56.16 | 2.1% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $54.96 | 2.1% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $53.92 | 2.0% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $51.62 | 3.9% | 63 | 65.3 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $44.56 | 1.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $34.36 | 0.9% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $31.38 | 0.6% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $28.27 | 0.7% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $21.04 | 0.5% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $17.60 | 0.3% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $13.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $10.77 | 0.2% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $5.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $5.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $5.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $5.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $4.94 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $4.76 | 0.4% | 69 | 65.3 | 1.06× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $4.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $4.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $4.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $3.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $2.89 | 0.2% | 73 | 65.3 | 1.12× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $2.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $2.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $2.05 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $1.95 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $1.58 | 0.1% | 62 | 65.3 | 0.95× |
| [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $1.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $1.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.25 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $1.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $1.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $1.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $1.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $1.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $0.84 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $0.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $0.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $0.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $0.77 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $0.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $0.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $0.71 | 0.0% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $0.63 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $0.63 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $0.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Re.built (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $0.55 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 21.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Re.built (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 32.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $0.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.3 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/cache-back-joker`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-05 12:41 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-04 12:45 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-04 12:24 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [CİĞERCİMEMO](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/C%C4%B0%C4%9EERC%C4%B0MEMO) $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-04 06:14 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-03 21:57 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-03 20:57 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [good](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/good) $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-03 19:57 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-03 19:48 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [★ αк ʜ$ ᴇɴᴊᴏʏᴇʀ](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%E2%98%85%20%CE%B1%D0%BA%20%CA%9C%24%20%E1%B4%87%C9%B4%E1%B4%8A%E1%B4%8F%CA%8F%E1%B4%87%CA%80) $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-03 19:29 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $59.41 $611 10.28x 2026-11-03 18:47 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=cache-back-joker)

[Tec-9 | Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) Hidden $57.99 $2.89 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC

[M249 | O.S.I.P.R. weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r) Hidden $57.99 $0.41 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) Hidden $57.99 $4.76 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC

[P250 | Re.built weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built) [liv](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/liv) $57.99 $0.35 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC

[Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $57.99 $51.62 0.89x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $57.99 $318 5.48x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

[AK-47 | VariCamo Grey weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey) Hidden $57.99 $0.17 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

[Tec-9 | Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) [Wuj WodzU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Wuj%20WodzU) $57.99 $2.89 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

[MP7 | Special Delivery weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery) Hidden $57.99 $1.26 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC

[USP-S | Sleeping Potion weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion) Hidden $57.99 $1.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $57.99 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $57.93 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $58.24 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $57.81 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $58.24 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $58.34 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $58.57 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $58.22 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $58.04 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $58.70 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $58.28 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $58.94 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $59.41 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $58.94 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $59.41 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $58.63 | 87.50% | 68 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 3.8% covert 7.7% red 7.7% extraordinary 3.8% blue 12.6% pink 7.7% restricted 13.6% classified 10.3% #d32ee6 1.3% uncommon 5.1% #8847ff 6.5% Mythical 5.1% violet 3.3% Rare 3.2% Restricted 1.0% #5e98d9 1.0% milspec 3.5% Uncommon 1.9% blueLight 1.0% best hit $611 (10.28x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt