---
title: "CLASSIFIED case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CLASSIFIED ($6.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 139 items with odds, observed 87.14% over 9,231 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [CLASSIFIED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · CLASSIFIED

A case on Casehug (BY RARITY), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $5.25 from 139 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.14% · 9,231 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.57% ±4.17 1,375 openings

7 days · 87.63% ±1.81 7,890 openings

30 days · 87.14% ±1.67 9,231 openings

since tracking started · 87.14% ±1.67 9,231 openings

83.5% 88.5% 93.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified?window=24h) | 1,375 | 88.57% ±4.17 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified?window=7d) | 7,890 | 87.63% ±1.81 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified) | 9,231 | 87.14% ±1.67 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified?window=all) | 9,231 | 87.14% ±1.67 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 139 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,254 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $658 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $511 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $444 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $280 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $188 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $92.83 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $61.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100,000 | $60.76 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $55.78 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $51.56 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $49.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $38.71 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $37.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $36.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $35.83 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $34.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $33.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $31.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $29.48 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $27.92 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $27.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $27.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $25.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $24.95 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $24.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $24.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100,000 | $23.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 763 | $22.47 | 0.6% | 0 | 12.1 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 1,099 | $21.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 2,439 | $21.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 671 | $20.78 | 0.6% | 0 | 13.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 980 | $20.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 926 | $20.05 | 0.4% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 917 | $19.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 10.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $19.74 | 0.5% | 0 | 11.6 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-well-worn) | 1 in 943 | $19.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.8 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-minimal-wear) | 1 in 746 | $19.35 | 0.5% | 0 | 12.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $19.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 12.0 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-field-tested) | 1 in 621 | $18.93 | 0.6% | 0 | 14.9 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-well-worn) | 1 in 606 | $18.73 | 0.6% | 0 | 15.3 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-battle-scarred) | 1 in 813 | $18.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 11.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 671 | $18.02 | 0.5% | 0 | 13.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,326 | $17.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 532 | $15.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 17.4 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $15.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 741 | $15.49 | 0.4% | 0 | 12.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 513 | $15.42 | 0.6% | 0 | 18.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $15.25 | 0.4% | 0 | 12.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 704 | $15.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 13.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $15.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 8.3 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 398 | $14.51 | 0.7% | 0 | 23.2 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 397 | $14.48 | 0.7% | 0 | 23.3 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 386 | $14.29 | 0.7% | 0 | 24.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 935 | $14.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.9 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $14.21 | 1.6% | 0 | 55.2 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $14.18 | 1.6% | 0 | 55.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) | 1 in 725 | $14.08 | 0.4% | 0 | 12.8 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $14.05 | 1.6% | 0 | 55.3 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $13.79 | 1.6% | 0 | 57.5 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 356 | $13.72 | 0.7% | 0 | 26.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 971 | $13.72 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 662 | $12.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 14.0 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 262 | $12.06 | 0.9% | 0 | 35.4 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-minimal-wear) | 1 in 275 | $10.52 | 0.7% | 0 | 33.7 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-battle-scarred) | 1 in 88 | $9.92 | 2.1% | 0 | 104.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 356 | $9.53 | 0.5% | 0 | 26.0 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $9.44 | 1.1% | 0 | 57.8 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 293 | $9.33 | 0.6% | 0 | 31.6 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-battle-scarred) | 1 in 218 | $8.60 | 0.8% | 0 | 42.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 394 | $8.31 | 0.4% | 0 | 23.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 402 | $8.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 23.0 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 293 | $8.12 | 0.5% | 0 | 31.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 441 | $7.60 | 0.3% | 0 | 21.0 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-field-tested) | 1 in 214 | $7.07 | 0.6% | 0 | 43.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $7.05 | 0.7% | 0 | 50.9 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 210 | $7.02 | 0.6% | 0 | 44.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $6.98 | 0.6% | 0 | 44.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 291 | $6.91 | 0.5% | 0 | 31.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 394 | $6.81 | 0.3% | 0 | 23.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 196 | $6.79 | 0.7% | 0 | 47.2 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 254 | $6.78 | 0.5% | 0 | 36.4 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 193 | $6.70 | 0.7% | 0 | 48.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $6.68 | 0.7% | 0 | 48.8 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-well-worn) | 1 in 190 | $6.67 | 0.7% | 0 | 48.6 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-battle-scarred) | 1 in 188 | $6.62 | 0.7% | 0 | 49.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $6.59 | 0.7% | 0 | 49.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 298 | $6.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 31.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 229 | $6.44 | 0.5% | 0 | 40.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 233 | $6.39 | 0.5% | 0 | 39.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $6.26 | 0.7% | 0 | 57.0 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $6.18 | 0.8% | 0 | 59.3 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $6.16 | 0.6% | 0 | 44.0 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 342 | $6.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 27.0 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 355 | $6.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 26.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) | 1 in 149 | $6.04 | 0.8% | 0 | 62.1 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $5.95 | 1.8% | 0 | 151.0 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $5.89 | 1.9% | 0 | 158.9 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $5.88 | 2.3% | 0 | 194.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $5.77 | 1.4% | 0 | 121.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $5.51 | 1.4% | 0 | 120.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $5.39 | 1.4% | 0 | 124.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $5.37 | 1.2% | 0 | 105.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $5.16 | 1.4% | 0 | 132.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $5.14 | 2.2% | 0 | 206.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $5.09 | 1.2% | 0 | 113.8 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $5.07 | 0.7% | 0 | 70.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $4.88 | 1.2% | 0 | 120.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $4.82 | 1.3% | 0 | 134.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $4.61 | 0.8% | 0 | 82.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $4.56 | 1.1% | 0 | 118.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $4.53 | 1.1% | 0 | 120.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $4.51 | 1.1% | 0 | 120.9 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $4.48 | 1.6% | 0 | 173.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 49 | $4.38 | 1.7% | 0 | 187.6 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $4.35 | 1.4% | 0 | 152.0 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $4.33 | 1.0% | 0 | 116.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $4.24 | 1.6% | 0 | 184.2 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $4.19 | 2.1% | 0 | 240.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $4.12 | 1.4% | 0 | 167.3 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $4.09 | 1.4% | 0 | 165.6 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $4.04 | 1.1% | 0 | 128.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $4.01 | 1.6% | 0 | 199.1 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $3.99 | 1.0% | 0 | 126.7 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $3.98 | 2.1% | 0 | 258.8 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $3.90 | 1.1% | 0 | 135.4 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $3.81 | 1.4% | 0 | 183.0 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $3.78 | 1.3% | 0 | 161.9 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $3.49 | 1.1% | 0 | 152.8 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $3.49 | 1.3% | 0 | 181.0 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $3.44 | 1.3% | 0 | 184.8 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $3.38 | 1.1% | 0 | 159.7 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $3.27 | 0.7% | 0 | 97.2 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $3.08 | 0.9% | 0 | 142.0 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $2.68 | 1.0% | 0 | 172.4 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $2.60 | 1.0% | 0 | 179.9 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $2.36 | 1.0% | 0 | 210.7 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.64 | 1.2% | 0 | 350.7 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.51 | 0.9% | 0 | 286.3 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.33 | 1.0% | 0 | 347.6 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/classified`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=classified)

[R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher) Hidden $6.00 $6.12 1.02x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC

[UMP-45 | Wild Child weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child) Hidden $6.00 $3.56 0.59x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra) Hidden $6.00 $6.42 1.07x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC

[P2000 | Wicked Sick weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick) [lol](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/lol) $6.00 $3.73 0.62x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [MasnyBOB](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/MasnyBOB) $6.00 $5.49 0.92x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [damian.turlej0917](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/damian.turlej0917) $6.00 $5.49 0.92x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[UMP-45 | Wild Child weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child) [Zero\_ skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Zero_%20skins.army) $6.00 $3.56 0.59x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC

[Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic) [damian.turlej0917](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/damian.turlej0917) $6.00 $4.95 0.83x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love) [adversis](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/adversis) $6.00 $4.30 0.72x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love) [damian.turlej0917](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/damian.turlej0917) $6.00 $4.30 0.72x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $6.00 | 87.50% | 139 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $6.00 | 87.50% | 139 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $6.00 | 87.89% | 139 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $6.00 | 87.66% | 139 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $6.00 | 88.12% | 139 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.00 | 87.79% | 139 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $6.00 | 88.01% | 139 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $6.00 | 87.67% | 139 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $6.00 | 87.89% | 139 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $6.00 | 87.67% | 139 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $6.00 | 87.95% | 139 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $6.00 | 87.69% | 139 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $6.00 | 87.79% | 139 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $6.00 | 87.69% | 139 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $6.00 | 87.71% | 139 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $6.00 | 87.69% | 139 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $6.00 | 88.09% | 139 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.00 | 87.84% | 139 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $6.00 | 87.80% | 139 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $6.00 | 87.69% | 139 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $6.00 | 87.78% | 139 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 32.4% #d32ee6 9.5% pink 40.9% rare 0.0% Legendary 10.5% uncommon 3.9% Classified 2.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt