---
title: "DART CLUB JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "DART CLUB JOKER ($51.18) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 72 items with odds, observed 84.10% over 909 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker
rendered: 2026-11-12T13:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [DART CLUB JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · DART CLUB JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker?window=all)

Price · $51.18

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $44.78 from 72 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.10% · 909 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 71.22% ±28.37 133 openings

7 days · 77.95% ±12.77 626 openings

30 days · 84.10% ±10.48 909 openings

since tracking started · 84.10% ±10.48 909 openings

42.0% 71.0% 100.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker?window=24h) | 133 | 71.22% ±28.4 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker?window=7d) | 626 | 77.95% ±12.8 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker) | 909 | 84.10% ±10.5 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dart-club-joker?window=all) | 909 | 84.10% ±10.5 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 923 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $406 | 39.4% | 34 | 40.1 | 0.85× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $150 | 14.5% | 43 | 40.1 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $133 | 4.3% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $126 | 4.1% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $126 | 4.1% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $50.98 | 2.5% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $49.66 | 2.4% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $45.84 | 2.2% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $45.03 | 2.2% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $34.88 | 1.7% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $33.76 | 1.6% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $32.56 | 0.8% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $32.02 | 1.6% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $31.73 | 3.1% | 46 | 40.1 | 1.15× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $30.65 | 0.7% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $30.38 | 1.5% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $29.39 | 0.7% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $28.76 | 0.7% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $28.60 | 0.7% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $27.43 | 0.7% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $22.66 | 2.2% | 37 | 40.1 | 0.92× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $18.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $18.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $17.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $16.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $15.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $15.31 | 0.3% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $15.30 | 0.3% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $15.06 | 0.7% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $14.37 | 0.3% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $14.11 | 0.3% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $11.30 | 0.3% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $10.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $8.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $7.86 | 0.2% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $7.71 | 0.4% | 0 | 20.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $7.65 | 0.2% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $7.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $7.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $6.72 | 0.2% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $6.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $6.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $6.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $5.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $5.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $5.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $4.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $4.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $4.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $4.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $3.81 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $3.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $3.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $3.11 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $3.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $2.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $2.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $2.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $2.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $2.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $2.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $2.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $1.16 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $0.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $0.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $0.50 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/dart-club-joker`, 12 Nov, 08:52 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=dart-club-joker)

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate) Hidden $51.18 $6.48 0.13x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra) Hidden $51.18 $11.39 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze) Hidden $51.18 $0.54 0.01x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[MAC-10 | Stalker weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker) [M3L3R](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/M3L3R) $51.18 $45.44 0.89x 2026-11-12 11:44 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra) Hidden $51.18 $11.39 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:39 UTC

[UMP-45 | Primal Saber weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber) Hidden $51.18 $15.10 0.30x 2026-11-12 11:39 UTC

[UMP-45 | Primal Saber weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber) Hidden $51.18 $15.10 0.30x 2026-11-12 11:39 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra) [M3L3R](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/M3L3R) $51.18 $11.39 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Guardian weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian) Hidden $51.18 $32.07 0.63x 2026-11-12 07:59 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.18 $406 7.94x 2026-11-12 07:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 08:52 UTC | $51.18 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC | $51.30 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $51.48 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $51.30 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $51.48 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $51.31 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $51.51 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $50.95 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $50.46 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $50.28 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $50.46 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $49.54 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $50.47 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $49.54 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $48.98 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $49.23 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $48.98 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $49.69 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $49.53 | 87.50% | 72 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 17.4% sunny 4.3% red 4.3% classified 19.8% pink 16.3% Legendary 5.2% restricted 5.4% violet 12.6% uncommon 2.2% Mythical 2.6% #8847ff 1.1% #4b69ff 2.6% milspec 1.7% Rare 0.9% blue 2.6% Mil Spec 0.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt