---
title: "DESERT EAGLE JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "DESERT EAGLE JOKER ($112.40) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 103 items with odds, observed 97.23% over 672 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [DESERT EAGLE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · DESERT EAGLE JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker?window=all)

Price · $112.40

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $98.35 from 103 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.23% · 672 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93 openings · below min

7 days · 91.91% ±13.02 616 openings

30 days · 97.23% ±12.47 672 openings

since tracking started · 97.23% ±12.47 672 openings

56.0% 90.5% 125.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker?window=24h) | 93 | 90.46% ±33.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker?window=7d) | 616 | 91.91% ±13.0 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker) | 672 | 97.23% ±12.5 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/desert-eagle-joker?window=all) | 672 | 97.23% ±12.5 | +1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 103 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 742 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $797 | 24.6% | 27 | 22.5 | 1.20× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $564 | 17.4% | 28 | 22.5 | 1.25× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $541 | 16.7% | 25 | 22.5 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $262 | 8.1% | 25 | 22.5 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $231 | 7.1% | 19 | 22.5 | 0.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $198 | 1.2% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $174 | 5.4% | 23 | 22.5 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $119 | 0.7% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $109 | 3.4% | 23 | 22.5 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $93.39 | 2.9% | 19 | 22.5 | 0.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $91.89 | 0.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $83.48 | 2.6% | 21 | 22.5 | 0.93× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $81.18 | 0.8% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $75.37 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $52.36 | 1.6% | 16 | 22.5 | 0.71× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $43.39 | 1.3% | 24 | 22.5 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $41.17 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $39.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $38.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $37.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $33.32 | 0.3% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $30.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $27.49 | 0.3% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $26.99 | 0.3% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $24.54 | 0.3% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $22.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $22.35 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $21.99 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $20.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $17.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $13.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $12.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $11.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $10.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $9.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $8.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $6.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $6.56 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $6.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $6.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $5.63 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $5.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $3.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $2.94 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $2.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $2.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $2.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $1.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $1.90 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $1.64 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $1.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $1.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $1.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $1.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $1.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-battle-scarred) | 1 in 132 | $1.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $1.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $1.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $1.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-battle-scarred) | 1 in 132 | $1.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $1.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $0.96 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.90 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $0.90 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $0.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $0.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $0.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $0.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $0.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.55 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $0.50 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 132 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $0.20 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.20 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/desert-eagle-joker`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-04 23:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-04 14:23 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-04 12:33 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [leosia\_krolowa](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/leosia_krolowa) $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-04 12:20 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-04 12:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Zygzak McQueen](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Zygzak%20McQueen) $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-04 09:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-03 22:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [BMW enjoyer \_lt;3](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/BMW%20enjoyer%20_lt%3B3) $114 $812 7.13x 2026-11-03 20:59 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $114 $804 7.04x 2026-11-09 20:02 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $114 $804 7.04x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=desert-eagle-joker)

[Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) Hidden $113 $175 1.55x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail) Hidden $113 $4.82 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm) Hidden $113 $44.55 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Starcade weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade) [\_quot;S\_quot; KING](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/_quot%3BS_quot%3B%20KING) $113 $77.04 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $113 $797 7.07x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply) Hidden $113 $1.47 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco) [Łosiuuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%C5%81osiuuu) $113 $0.38 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive) Hidden $113 $26.47 0.23x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline) Hidden $113 $2.13 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [ziomek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziomek) $113 $42.24 0.38x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $112 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $110 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $110 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $111 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $111 | 87.50% | 103 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 103 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 0.6% rare 4.8% restricted 20.0% classified 16.2% covert 9.1% industrial 2.0% mil spec 6.3% Ancient 3.0% uncommon 2.4% Classified 1.0% blue 7.4% Industrial Grade 1.0% violet 5.3% Legendary 1.0% pink 3.0% #8847ff 2.4% Mythical 1.4% blueLight 1.8% Rare 3.0% Uncommon 0.6% #4b69ff 5.8% Mil Spec Grade 0.6% #5e98d9 0.6% milspec 0.6% best hit $812 (7.13x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt