--- title: "ELECTRONIC JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ELECTRONIC JOKER ($513.69) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 90.12% over 165 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T17:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [ELECTRONIC JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker) # [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · ELECTRONIC JOKER A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker?window=all) Price · $513.69 Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $449.48 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.12% · 165 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 57.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 90.60% ±13.00 158 openings 30 days · 90.12% ±12.73 165 openings since tracking started · 90.12% ±12.73 165 openings 8.5% 56.5% 104.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker?window=24h) | 12 | 56.15% ±47.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker?window=7d) | 158 | 90.60% ±13.0 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker) | 165 | 90.12% ±12.7 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic-joker?window=all) | 165 | 90.12% ±12.7 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 175 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 14.3% | $1,139 | 36.2% | 29 | 25.0 | 1.16× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $820 | 13.0% | 0 | 12.5 | 0.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 14.3% | $819 | 26.0% | 25 | 25.0 | 1.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $764 | 12.1% | 0 | 12.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 14.3% | $287 | 9.1% | 21 | 25.0 | 0.84× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 14.3% | $105 | 3.3% | 28 | 25.0 | 1.12× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 14.3% | $3.70 | 0.1% | 21 | 25.0 | 0.84× | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 14.3% | $0.81 | 0.0% | 26 | 25.0 | 1.04× | Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/electronic-joker`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [DMG](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/DMG) $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:52 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:52 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [DMG](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/DMG) $525 $1,179 2.24x 2026-11-05 20:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=electronic-joker) [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $514 $105 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $514 $287 0.56x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $514 $105 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dzs4z0n) $514 $105 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $514 $819 1.59x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $514 $819 1.59x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $514 $3.70 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dzs4z0n) $514 $0.81 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [Naturalson](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Naturalson) $514 $287 0.56x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $514 $3.70 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $514 | 87.50% | 8 | | 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $515 | 87.50% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $513 | 87.50% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $523 | 87.50% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $520 | 87.50% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $522 | 87.50% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $523 | 87.50% | 8 | | 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $525 | 87.50% | 8 | | 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $528 | 87.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 14.3% covert 42.9% classified 14.3% restricted 28.6% best hit $1,179 (2.24x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt