--- title: "ELECTRONIC case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "ELECTRONIC ($33.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.07% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.75% over 6,821 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic rendered: 2026-11-11T15:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [ELECTRONIC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic) # [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · ELECTRONIC A case on Casehug (HIGH RISK), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic?window=all) Price · $33.00 Advertised RTP · 87.07% · EV $28.73 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.75% · 6,821 openings, odds method Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 66.44% ±18.79 1,033 openings 7 days · 83.41% ±8.05 5,720 openings 30 days · 82.75% ±7.39 6,821 openings since tracking started · 82.75% ±7.39 6,821 openings 47.0% 69.5% 92.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic?window=24h) | 1,033 | 66.44% ±18.8 | −2.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic?window=7d) | 5,720 | 83.41% ±8.05 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic) | 6,821 | 82.75% ±7.39 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/electronic?window=all) | 6,821 | 82.75% ±7.39 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,822 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 629 | $1,139 | 6.3% | 7 | 10.8 | 0.65× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 478 | $820 | 6.0% | 0 | 14.3 | 0.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 244 | $819 | 11.7% | 23 | 28.0 | 0.82× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 437 | $764 | 6.1% | 0 | 15.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $287 | 32.6% | 224 | 223.0 | 1.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $105 | 33.5% | 604 | 628.6 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 13.3% | $3.70 | 1.7% | 827 | 905.6 | 0.91× | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 73.2% | $0.81 | 2.1% | 5,107 | 4996.1 | 1.02× | Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/electronic`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $33.00 $1,179 35.71x 2026-11-05 19:00 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [???????????????????????? ×͜×](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%20%C3%97%CD%9C%C3%97) $33.00 $1,179 35.71x 2026-11-05 11:30 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [TRYTON](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TRYTON) $33.00 $1,174 35.58x 2026-11-08 00:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $33.00 $1,174 35.58x 2026-11-08 00:36 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $33.00 $1,168 35.39x 2026-11-08 17:38 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $33.00 $1,168 35.39x 2026-11-08 13:20 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $33.00 $1,140 34.56x 2026-11-09 06:00 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $33.00 $856 25.93x 2026-11-03 06:42 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $33.00 $856 25.93x 2026-11-03 01:50 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [dolbaj0](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dolbaj0) $33.00 $842 25.50x 2026-11-04 15:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=electronic) [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) Hidden $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) Hidden $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) Hidden $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) [MatiR02](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/MatiR02) $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) Hidden $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) Hidden $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) [MatiR02](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/MatiR02) $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $33.00 $3.70 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) Hidden $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) Hidden $33.00 $0.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $33.00 | 87.07% | 8 | | 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $33.00 | 87.05% | 8 | | 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $33.00 | 87.10% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $33.00 | 86.98% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $33.00 | 87.02% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $33.00 | 86.99% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $33.00 | 87.20% | 8 | | 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $33.00 | 87.01% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $33.00 | 87.04% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $33.00 | 87.05% | 8 | | 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $33.00 | 87.01% | 8 | | 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $33.00 | 87.05% | 8 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $33.00 | 87.06% | 8 | | 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $33.00 | 87.10% | 8 | | 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $33.00 | 86.70% | 8 | | 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $33.00 | 86.84% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 0.2% covert 4.1% classified 9.2% restricted 86.5% best hit $1,179 (35.71x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.07 on average: an expected loss of $12.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt