---
title: "EWRON case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "EWRON ($25.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 47 items with odds, observed 84.15% over 6,976 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [EWRON](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · EWRON

A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron?window=all)

Price · $25.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $21.87 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.15% · 6,976 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.92% ±8.45 939 openings

7 days · 84.80% ±3.55 5,842 openings

30 days · 84.15% ±3.26 6,976 openings

since tracking started · 84.15% ±3.26 6,976 openings

79.0% 88.0% 97.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.46% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (80.89% – 87.41%, 6,976 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron?window=24h) | 939 | 87.92% ±8.45 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron?window=7d) | 5,842 | 84.80% ±3.55 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron) | 6,976 | 84.15% ±3.26 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ewron?window=all) | 6,976 | 84.15% ±3.26 | −2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,009 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,961 | $755 | 1.8% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 962 | $365 | 1.7% | 12 | 7.3 | 1.65× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 592 | $222 | 1.7% | 16 | 11.8 | 1.35× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 410 | $154 | 1.7% | 17 | 17.1 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 391 | $147 | 1.7% | 16 | 17.9 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 312 | $117 | 1.7% | 20 | 22.5 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $80.83 | 4.6% | 0 | 87.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $73.54 | 5.1% | 0 | 106.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $72.97 | 5.1% | 0 | 107.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $71.74 | 4.1% | 0 | 87.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $63.33 | 3.2% | 0 | 77.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 148 | $57.30 | 1.8% | 0 | 47.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-field-tested) | 1 in 183 | $56.04 | 1.4% | 0 | 38.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 122 | $54.96 | 2.1% | 0 | 57.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $54.15 | 5.8% | 181 | 163.0 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $53.92 | 2.1% | 0 | 59.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 129 | $53.63 | 1.9% | 0 | 54.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $49.97 | 5.8% | 167 | 176.6 | 0.95× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $49.95 | 1.6% | 0 | 48.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 146 | $49.95 | 1.6% | 0 | 48.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $49.23 | 5.8% | 162 | 179.2 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 106 | $48.44 | 2.1% | 0 | 66.4 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-factory-new) | 17.5% | $25.87 | 20.8% | 0 | 1229.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $20.53 | 1.0% | 0 | 76.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 329 | $18.92 | 0.3% | 0 | 21.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $18.75 | 1.1% | 0 | 85.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $17.61 | 0.8% | 0 | 67.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $17.12 | 1.1% | 0 | 97.6 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Urban Rubble (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-urban-rubble-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $14.09 | 1.0% | 0 | 113.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $12.81 | 0.9% | 0 | 105.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $11.32 | 0.9% | 0 | 125.2 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) | 1 in 599 | $9.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 11.7 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-urban-rubble-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $9.01 | 1.2% | 0 | 211.3 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $8.95 | 0.9% | 0 | 161.1 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $8.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 68.5 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $7.74 | 1.0% | 0 | 197.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $6.66 | 0.5% | 0 | 122.2 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $5.01 | 0.5% | 0 | 149.7 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $4.56 | 0.5% | 0 | 155.6 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $4.05 | 0.5% | 0 | 183.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $3.03 | 0.7% | 0 | 368.1 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $2.89 | 0.6% | 0 | 323.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $2.10 | 0.2% | 0 | 175.8 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $1.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 177.7 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 302.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 644.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $0.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 349.7 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/ewron`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $25.00 $775 31.00x 2026-11-07 15:36 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $25.00 $775 31.00x 2026-11-07 13:55 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [BIG oro](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/BIG%20oro) $25.00 $760 30.39x 2026-11-10 19:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=ewron)

[Tec-9 | Remote Control weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control) Hidden $25.00 $19.67 0.79x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[M4A4 | Sheet Lightning weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning) Hidden $25.00 $1.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[FAMAS | Bad Trip weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip) [SoBoL BuK](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/SoBoL%20BuK) $25.00 $55.92 2.24x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Tec-9 | Remote Control weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control) Hidden $25.00 $19.67 0.79x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[M4A4 | Sheet Lightning weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning) Hidden $25.00 $1.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Galil AR | Dusk Ruins weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins) [MosQuit](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/MosQuit) $25.00 $8.28 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale) Hidden $25.00 $5.63 0.23x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale) Hidden $25.00 $5.63 0.23x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[P250 | Contaminant weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant) Hidden $25.00 $1.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[AWP | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream) [\_Mefju\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/_Mefju_) $25.00 $52.62 2.10x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $25.00 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $25.00 | 87.36% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $25.00 | 87.32% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $25.00 | 87.22% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $25.00 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $25.00 | 87.22% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $25.00 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $25.00 | 87.75% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $25.00 | 87.30% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $25.00 | 87.75% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $25.00 | 87.34% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $25.00 | 87.78% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $25.00 | 87.13% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $25.00 | 87.64% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $25.00 | 87.82% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $25.00 | 87.72% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $25.00 | 87.39% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $25.00 | 87.41% | 47 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $25.00 | 87.39% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.1% legendary 0.1% covert 7.9% classified 29.6% uncommon 3.1% Ancient 0.7% extraordinary 2.3% red 3.1% #ffd700 2.5% pink 4.8% rare 1.0% industrial 1.6% Classified 1.8% Mil Spec Grade 0.2% blueLight 3.0% blue 16.9% #4b69ff 2.8% mil spec 1.7% #d32ee6 2.6% #8847ff 11.7% Rare 2.5% best hit $775 (31.00x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt