---
title: "FARM GLOVES JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "FARM GLOVES JOKER ($50.19) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.51% over 1,590 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [FARM GLOVES JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · FARM GLOVES JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker?window=all)

Price · $50.19

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $43.91 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.51% · 1,590 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.25% ±21.72 194 openings

7 days · 90.11% ±8.54 1,253 openings

30 days · 86.51% ±7.62 1,590 openings

since tracking started · 86.51% ±7.62 1,590 openings

71.0% 93.3% 115.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker?window=24h) | 194 | 93.25% ±21.7 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker?window=7d) | 1,253 | 90.11% ±8.54 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker) | 1,590 | 86.51% ±7.62 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves-joker?window=all) | 1,590 | 86.51% ±7.62 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,595 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $253 | 57.6% | 155 | 159.5 | 0.97× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 10.0% | $94.83 | 21.6% | 177 | 159.5 | 1.11× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 10.0% | $87.44 | 19.9% | 147 | 159.5 | 0.92× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.57 | 0.4% | 144 | 159.5 | 0.90× |
| [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.45 | 0.3% | 160 | 159.5 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.57 | 0.1% | 184 | 159.5 | 1.15× |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.28 | 0.1% | 153 | 159.5 | 0.96× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.11 | 0.0% | 194 | 159.5 | 1.22× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.09 | 0.0% | 141 | 159.5 | 0.88× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 140 | 159.5 | 0.88× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/farm-gloves-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=farm-gloves-joker)

[★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $50.19 $94.83 1.89x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) Hidden $50.19 $0.57 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC

[UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) [Matekwiertara](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Matekwiertara) $50.19 $1.45 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.19 $253 5.04x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC

[Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-field-tested) Hidden $50.19 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC

[Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) [Matekwiertara](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Matekwiertara) $50.19 $1.57 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) Hidden $50.19 $0.57 0.01x 2026-11-11 23:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) Hidden $50.19 $1.57 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) Hidden $50.19 $1.57 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:51 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) [Bukaj](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Bukaj) $50.19 $0.57 0.01x 2026-11-11 23:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $50.19 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $49.48 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $49.39 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $49.56 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $48.21 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $49.51 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $49.52 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $49.62 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $49.89 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $49.61 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $49.89 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $49.56 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $49.89 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $53.19 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $49.56 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $53.19 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $53.28 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $53.19 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $52.42 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 22:28 UTC | $50.75 | 87.50% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 10.0% extraordinary 20.0% restricted 10.0% violet 10.0% Mythical 10.0% blue 20.0% milspec 10.0% blueLight 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt