---
title: "FARM GLOVES case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "FARM GLOVES ($3.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.92% from 10 items with odds, observed 82.21% over 25.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [FARM GLOVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · FARM GLOVES

A case on Casehug (FARM CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves?window=all)

Price · $3.00

Advertised RTP · 86.92% · EV $2.61 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.21% · 25.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 23.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 41 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 97.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82.36% ±17.60 2,856 openings

7 days · 81.02% ±6.26 22.8K openings

30 days · 82.21% ±5.88 25.8K openings

since tracking started · 82.21% ±5.88 25.8K openings

64.0% 82.3% 100.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves?window=24h) | 2,856 | 82.36% ±17.6 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves?window=7d) | 22.8K | 81.02% ±6.26 | −1.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves) | 25.8K | 82.21% ±5.88 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/farm-gloves?window=all) | 25.8K | 82.21% ±5.88 | −1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,846 | $244 | 2.4% | 4 | 6.7 | 0.60× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 243 | $96.19 | 15.2% | 99 | 106.2 | 0.93× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $89.09 | 69.0% | 491 | 522.1 | 0.94× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $1.63 | 3.8% | 1,606 | 1567.9 | 1.02× |
| [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $1.51 | 3.7% | 1,561 | 1637.9 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) | 14.2% | $0.58 | 3.2% | 3,734 | 3658.9 | 1.02× |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 11.6% | $0.24 | 1.1% | 3,221 | 2985.6 | 1.08× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 19.5% | $0.09 | 0.7% | 4,865 | 5026.3 | 0.97× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-field-tested) | 26.2% | $0.09 | 0.9% | 7,842 | 6772.4 | 1.16× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-field-tested) | 13.7% | $0.02 | 0.1% | 2,411 | 3550.1 | 0.68× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/farm-gloves`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $277 92.17x 2026-11-05 13:42 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $244 81.18x 2026-11-10 17:22 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $244 81.18x 2026-11-10 00:55 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $244 81.18x 2026-11-07 01:57 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=farm-gloves)

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) [Perfraemskins.army„CS2.ME”](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Perfraemskins.army%E2%80%9ECS2.ME%E2%80%9D) $3.00 $0.09 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) [damian.turlej0917](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/damian.turlej0917) $3.00 $0.58 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $1.51 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $0.58 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $0.58 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-field-tested) [.](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/) $3.00 $0.09 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $0.09 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $0.58 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $0.58 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) [.](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/) $3.00 $1.51 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $3.00 | 86.92% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $3.00 | 87.02% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $3.00 | 87.02% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $3.00 | 86.94% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $3.00 | 87.07% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $3.00 | 87.10% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $3.00 | 87.22% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $3.00 | 86.59% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $3.00 | 87.06% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $3.00 | 86.99% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $3.00 | 87.06% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $3.00 | 87.01% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $3.00 | 87.05% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $3.00 | 87.03% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $3.00 | 83.23% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $3.00 | 86.86% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.0% extraordinary 2.4% restricted 6.1% violet 6.3% Mythical 14.2% blue 37.8% milspec 19.5% blueLight 13.7% best hit $277 (92.17x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.92 on average: an expected loss of $13.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt