---
title: "FLICK case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "FLICK ($2.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 24 items with odds, observed 84.63% over 21.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [FLICK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · FLICK

A case on Casehug (STICKER CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1.75 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.63% · 21.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.53% ±7.31 2,659 openings

7 days · 85.01% ±2.64 18.6K openings

30 days · 84.63% ±2.46 21.3K openings

since tracking started · 84.63% ±2.46 21.3K openings

78.5% 86.5% 94.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.20% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (82.17% – 87.09%, 21,345 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick?window=24h) | 2,659 | 86.53% ±7.31 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick?window=7d) | 18.6K | 85.01% ±2.64 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick) | 21.3K | 84.63% ±2.46 | −2.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/flick?window=all) | 21.3K | 84.63% ±2.46 | −2.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 33,333 | $576 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sticker \| rox (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rox-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 5,882 | $107 | 1.0% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| Crimson Web Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crimson-web-poison-frog-foil) | 1 in 1,429 | $24.98 | 1.0% | 11 | 15.0 | 0.74× |
| [Sticker \| Neon Opal Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neon-opal-strafe-holo) | 1 in 820 | $14.21 | 1.0% | 27 | 26.1 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Opal Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-opal-flick-holo) | 1 in 625 | $10.77 | 1.0% | 21 | 34.2 | 0.61× |
| [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 1 in 575 | $9.93 | 1.0% | 31 | 37.2 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 1 in 73 | $6.98 | 5.5% | 270 | 292.6 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) | 1 in 65 | $6.26 | 5.5% | 322 | 326.4 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Showdown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-showdown-foil) | 1 in 56 | $5.31 | 5.5% | 378 | 384.7 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Kill Count (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kill-count-holo) | 1 in 37 | $4.93 | 7.6% | 623 | 579.3 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| TV Installation (Lenticular) sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-installation-lenticular) | 1 in 28 | $3.73 | 7.6% | 832 | 765.4 | 1.09× |
| [Sticker \| Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) | 1 in 25 | $3.35 | 7.6% | 833 | 852.2 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Approaching Site (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-approaching-site-foil) | 1 in 14 | $2.36 | 9.8% | 1,465 | 1560.2 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Sherry (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sherry-holo) | 1 in 13 | $2.17 | 9.8% | 1,724 | 1697.0 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Guardian Dragon (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-guardian-dragon-foil) | 1 in 11 | $1.84 | 10.0% | 1,966 | 2030.6 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Fire in the Hole (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-in-the-hole-holo) | 10.3% | $1.70 | 10.0% | 2,099 | 2198.0 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Bloodthirster (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bloodthirster-foil) | 1 in 32 | $1.44 | 2.6% | 749 | 675.0 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| Ancient Beast (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-beast-foil) | 1 in 31 | $1.41 | 2.6% | 693 | 683.6 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Skin Lover (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skin-lover-lenticular) | 1 in 31 | $1.38 | 2.6% | 679 | 692.3 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Boost (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boost-holo) | 1 in 23 | $0.84 | 2.1% | 997 | 932.6 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Hi, My Game Is sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hi-my-game-is) | 1 in 13 | $0.31 | 1.4% | 1,710 | 1695.7 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| The Guru sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-guru) | 1 in 12 | $0.28 | 1.3% | 1,871 | 1802.6 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Zeused sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeused) | 1 in 11 | $0.26 | 1.3% | 1,785 | 1884.4 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Rush More sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rush-more) | 10.3% | $0.20 | 1.2% | 2,289 | 2205.7 | 1.04× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/flick`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=flick)

[Sticker | Rush More sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rush-more) Hidden $2.00 $0.20 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[Sticker | Hi, My Game Is sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hi-my-game-is) Hidden $2.00 $0.31 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[Sticker | Zeused sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeused) [Witold Pilecki](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Witold%20Pilecki) $2.00 $0.26 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[Sticker | Zeused sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeused) Hidden $2.00 $0.26 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Sticker | Bloodthirster (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bloodthirster-foil) Hidden $2.00 $1.44 0.72x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Sticker | Rush More sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rush-more) Hidden $2.00 $0.20 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Sticker | Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) [FanFooo kick.com/fanfo0](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/FanFooo%20kick.com%2Ffanfo0) $2.00 $9.93 4.97x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Sticker | Hi, My Game Is sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hi-my-game-is) [NRForceTomi](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/NRForceTomi) $2.00 $0.31 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Sticker | Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) Hidden $2.00 $3.35 1.68x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[Sticker | Zeused sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeused) Hidden $2.00 $0.26 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.00 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.00 | 86.55% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.00 | 87.44% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2.00 | 87.66% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2.00 | 87.35% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.00 | 87.46% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2.00 | 87.77% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2.00 | 86.89% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $2.00 | 87.69% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 86.69% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $2.00 | 87.11% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.35% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.00 | 86.77% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $2.00 | 87.03% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $2.00 | 87.07% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.03% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $2.00 | 85.69% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.00 | 87.07% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 10.6% pink 12.7% exotic 1.9% Mythical 12.5% #8847ff 1.4% violet 4.2% red 3.6% Legendary 11.3% Exotic 3.2% Ancient 3.2% blue 26.7% Rare 8.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt