---
title: "FOXIE JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "FOXIE JOKER ($96.82) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 78 items with odds, observed 86.20% over 402 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [FOXIE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · FOXIE JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker?window=all)

Price · $96.82

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $84.72 from 78 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.20% · 402 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98 openings · below min

7 days · 84.47% ±14.42 376 openings

30 days · 86.20% ±13.96 402 openings

since tracking started · 86.20% ±13.96 402 openings

69.5% 102.8% 136.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker?window=24h) | 98 | 107.79% ±27.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker?window=7d) | 376 | 84.47% ±14.4 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker) | 402 | 86.20% ±14.0 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker?window=all) | 402 | 86.20% ±14.0 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 78 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 454 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $553 | 24.2% | 15 | 16.8 | 0.89× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $345 | 15.1% | 15 | 16.8 | 0.89× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $280 | 6.1% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $272 | 11.9% | 17 | 16.8 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $262 | 11.4% | 22 | 16.8 | 1.31× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $242 | 5.3% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $144 | 6.3% | 16 | 16.8 | 0.95× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $111 | 4.9% | 10 | 16.8 | 0.59× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $89.73 | 1.0% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $74.94 | 0.8% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $53.92 | 2.4% | 17 | 16.8 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $51.04 | 1.1% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $44.72 | 1.0% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $42.34 | 0.9% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $42.00 | 0.9% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $38.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $35.22 | 0.8% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $24.97 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $23.85 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $23.61 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $23.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $21.57 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $21.14 | 0.5% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $17.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $16.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $16.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $16.28 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $16.00 | 0.7% | 26 | 16.8 | 1.55× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $13.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $12.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $12.44 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $12.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $10.69 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $9.81 | 0.2% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $9.03 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $8.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $8.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $8.64 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $7.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $6.56 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $6.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $5.89 | 0.1% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $5.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $5.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $5.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $5.02 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $4.93 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $4.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $4.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $4.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $4.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $4.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $3.98 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $3.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $3.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $2.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $2.20 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $2.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $2.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $2.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $2.02 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $1.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $1.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $1.62 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $1.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $1.55 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $1.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $1.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $1.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $0.93 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $0.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $0.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $0.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $0.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $0.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $0.54 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/foxie-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $99.31 $627 6.31x 2026-11-06 14:47 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $99.31 $627 6.31x 2026-11-06 13:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $100 $625 6.25x 2026-11-06 17:46 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $99.62 $622 6.25x 2026-11-08 13:17 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $99.24 $612 6.17x 2026-11-08 23:31 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $98.93 $607 6.14x 2026-11-09 21:57 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $99.39 $605 6.09x 2026-11-02 22:40 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [K1ddy\_K1skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/K1ddy_K1skins.army) $97.84 $570 5.83x 2026-11-10 13:40 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [dredek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dredek) $96.82 $553 5.71x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Mar\_Bat123 OsloRP](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Mar_Bat123%20OsloRP) $96.82 $553 5.71x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=foxie-joker)

[Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration) [dredek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dredek) $96.82 $9.01 0.09x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) [Sayouri](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Sayouri) $96.82 $144 1.49x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire) [wh1sky](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/wh1sky) $96.82 $261 2.69x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [dredek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dredek) $96.82 $553 5.71x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor) [Sayouri](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Sayouri) $96.82 $30.43 0.31x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain) [wh1sky](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/wh1sky) $96.82 $7.78 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC

[Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit) Hidden $96.82 $1.30 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader) Hidden $96.82 $4.11 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader) Hidden $96.82 $4.11 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Mar\_Bat123 OsloRP](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Mar_Bat123%20OsloRP) $96.82 $553 5.71x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $96.82 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $95.41 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $96.82 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $97.84 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $98.93 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $99.24 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $99.55 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $99.62 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $99.24 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $100 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $99.31 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $99.52 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $99.31 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $99.01 | 87.50% | 78 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $100 | 87.50% | 78 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 3.7% covert 18.5% sunny 3.7% classified 18.7% Ancient 1.9% red 5.6% Legendary 9.9% pink 5.9% violet 8.1% restricted 10.2% #8847ff 3.1% Classified 1.2% Mythical 7.4% #d32ee6 1.2% uncommon 0.7% best hit $627 (6.31x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt