---
title: "FRANIO case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "FRANIO ($15.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 84 items with odds, observed 88.13% over 7,759 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [FRANIO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · FRANIO

A case on Casehug (CREATORS FARM), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $13.13 from 84 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.13% · 7,759 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.54% ±10.08 1,201 openings

7 days · 88.70% ±4.43 6,328 openings

30 days · 88.13% ±4.01 7,759 openings

since tracking started · 88.13% ±4.01 7,759 openings

83.0% 93.8% 104.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio?window=24h) | 1,201 | 93.54% ±10.1 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio?window=7d) | 6,328 | 88.70% ±4.43 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio) | 7,759 | 88.13% ±4.01 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio?window=all) | 7,759 | 88.13% ±4.01 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 84 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,786 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $4,366 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,969 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,156 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $444 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $371 | 0.8% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $280 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $243 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $225 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $225 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $222 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $212 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $203 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $172 | 0.7% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $150 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $146 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $138 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $137 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,762 | $133 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $131 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,762 | $126 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 4,348 | $122 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $105 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $90.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $83.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $82.29 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,381 | $75.96 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 2,083 | $71.51 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 1,754 | $65.16 | 0.3% | 0 | 4.4 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $63.33 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 2,222 | $59.09 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,174 | $57.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-field-tested) | 1 in 303 | $56.04 | 1.4% | 0 | 25.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 231 | $55.23 | 1.8% | 0 | 33.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 258 | $54.89 | 1.6% | 0 | 30.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 227 | $54.85 | 1.8% | 0 | 34.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 230 | $53.63 | 1.8% | 0 | 33.9 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-well-worn) | 1 in 241 | $49.95 | 1.6% | 0 | 32.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 241 | $49.95 | 1.6% | 0 | 32.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 188 | $48.44 | 2.0% | 0 | 41.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 187 | $46.69 | 1.9% | 0 | 41.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $45.92 | 2.4% | 0 | 54.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $43.39 | 2.1% | 0 | 48.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 210 | $40.79 | 1.5% | 0 | 37.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-well-worn) | 1 in 183 | $38.10 | 1.6% | 0 | 42.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $35.89 | 5.4% | 0 | 153.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $33.26 | 5.8% | 0 | 178.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $27.19 | 13.2% | 0 | 495.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $25.62 | 5.4% | 0 | 214.3 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $21.79 | 4.5% | 0 | 212.6 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $21.18 | 4.7% | 0 | 224.9 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $20.98 | 4.7% | 0 | 229.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $20.19 | 1.7% | 0 | 85.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $18.57 | 4.9% | 0 | 270.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 151 | $17.82 | 0.9% | 0 | 51.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $17.32 | 2.1% | 0 | 122.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $16.80 | 5.4% | 0 | 330.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 137 | $10.57 | 0.6% | 0 | 56.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $10.42 | 0.5% | 0 | 53.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $10.40 | 0.7% | 0 | 66.1 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $9.00 | 0.7% | 0 | 83.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $8.61 | 0.6% | 0 | 76.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $8.54 | 0.6% | 0 | 77.7 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $8.09 | 0.8% | 0 | 98.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $7.76 | 0.7% | 0 | 85.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 189 | $7.65 | 0.3% | 0 | 41.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $7.54 | 0.7% | 0 | 89.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $6.03 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $4.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 84.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $4.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 106.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $4.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 108.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $2.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 35.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 131 | $1.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 59.3 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $1.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 62.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $1.01 | 0.2% | 0 | 169.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $0.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 246.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $0.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 246.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 285.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 319.3 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 214.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 392.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $0.54 | 0.2% | 0 | 440.1 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 0 | 374.3 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $0.42 | 0.2% | 0 | 388.7 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.41 | 0.2% | 0 | 402.5 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/franio`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Hydroponic weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic) [Damzon](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Damzon) $15.00 $1,674 111.6x 2026-11-04 17:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=franio)

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage) Hidden $15.00 $12.13 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray) Hidden $15.00 $19.71 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gold Toof weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof) Hidden $15.00 $35.42 2.36x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage) [Domision](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Domision) $15.00 $12.13 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu) Hidden $15.00 $11.53 0.77x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Guard weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard) Hidden $15.00 $0.69 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Guard weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard) Hidden $15.00 $0.69 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Analog Input weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input) [Domision](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Domision) $15.00 $0.49 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray) Hidden $15.00 $19.71 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror) Hidden $15.00 $0.88 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $15.00 | 87.50% | 84 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $15.00 | 87.72% | 84 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $15.00 | 87.29% | 84 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $15.00 | 87.21% | 84 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $15.00 | 87.50% | 84 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $15.00 | 87.34% | 84 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $15.00 | 87.42% | 84 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $15.00 | 87.54% | 84 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $15.00 | 87.48% | 84 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $15.00 | 87.34% | 84 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $15.00 | 87.33% | 84 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $15.00 | 87.33% | 84 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $15.00 | 87.35% | 84 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $15.00 | 87.37% | 84 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $15.00 | 87.49% | 84 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $15.00 | 87.50% | 84 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $15.00 | 87.49% | 84 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $15.00 | 87.62% | 84 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 22.2% extraordinary 0.0% covert 1.7% epic 0.0% red 6.7% Ancient 1.2% uncommon 7.7% Covert 0.5% restricted 22.0% pink 6.2% #d32ce6 1.8% Mythical 7.3% violet 21.9% #8847ff 0.8% best hit $1,674 (111.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt