---
title: "GIGA BUŁA JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "GIGA BUŁA JOKER ($75.03) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 53 items with odds, observed 87.48% over 1,531 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [GIGA BUŁA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · GIGA BUŁA JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker?window=all)

Price · $75.03

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $65.65 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.48% · 1,531 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 68.48% ±27.42 190 openings

7 days · 87.00% ±10.24 1,359 openings

30 days · 87.48% ±9.64 1,531 openings

since tracking started · 87.48% ±9.64 1,531 openings

40.5% 69.3% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker?window=24h) | 190 | 68.48% ±27.4 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker?window=7d) | 1,359 | 87.00% ±10.2 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker) | 1,531 | 87.48% ±9.64 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula-joker?window=all) | 1,531 | 87.48% ±9.64 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,739 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $706 | 41.3% | 65 | 66.9 | 0.97× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $287 | 16.8% | 71 | 66.9 | 1.06× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $170 | 10.0% | 60 | 66.9 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $147 | 8.6% | 61 | 66.9 | 0.91× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $140 | 8.2% | 62 | 66.9 | 0.93× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $86.20 | 5.0% | 76 | 66.9 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $54.84 | 1.1% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $53.77 | 1.0% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $51.50 | 1.0% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $35.83 | 0.5% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $34.15 | 0.5% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $23.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $22.66 | 0.3% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $22.47 | 0.3% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $19.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $19.30 | 0.3% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $18.02 | 0.3% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $13.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $10.74 | 0.6% | 60 | 66.9 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $9.86 | 0.2% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $7.83 | 0.2% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $7.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $7.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $6.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $6.20 | 0.4% | 71 | 66.9 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $5.51 | 0.2% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $5.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $5.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $5.23 | 0.3% | 70 | 66.9 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $4.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $4.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $4.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $4.13 | 0.1% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $3.23 | 0.1% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $3.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $3.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $2.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $1.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $1.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $1.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $1.24 | 0.1% | 83 | 66.9 | 1.24× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $1.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 16.7 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| Bossy Burger sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bossy-burger) | 1 in 26 | $0.96 | 0.1% | 65 | 66.9 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $0.90 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Halftone Shift (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-halftone-shift-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Halftone Shift (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-halftone-shift-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $0.84 | 0.0% | 0 | 33.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $0.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $0.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 13.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.66 | 0.0% | 62 | 66.9 | 0.93× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 33.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $0.54 | 0.0% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $0.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 22.3 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/giga-bula-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $74.74 $712 9.53x 2026-11-03 19:39 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $74.74 $712 9.53x 2026-11-03 19:30 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [good](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/good) $74.74 $712 9.53x 2026-11-03 18:58 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.71 $712 9.41x 2026-11-03 12:39 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.03 $706 9.40x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [TidinTidin roadto19k CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TidinTidin%20roadto19k%20CS2.ME) $75.03 $706 9.40x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.40 $704 9.34x 2026-11-08 17:22 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.29 $704 9.35x 2026-11-07 15:42 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [SneakPeak](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/SneakPeak) $75.29 $704 9.35x 2026-11-07 15:42 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.29 $704 9.35x 2026-11-07 15:40 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=giga-bula-joker)

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.03 $170 2.27x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.03 $706 9.40x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty) Hidden $75.03 $22.80 0.30x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $75.03 $140 1.87x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $75.03 $170 2.27x 2026-11-11 22:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) Hidden $75.03 $10.74 0.14x 2026-11-11 22:48 UTC

[AWP | Atheris weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris) Hidden $75.03 $6.60 0.09x 2026-11-11 22:48 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $75.03 $2.11 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:48 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale) [CS2.ME Browuś pyk pyk ♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CS2.ME%20Browu%C5%9B%20pyk%20pyk%20%E2%99%BF) $75.03 $5.49 0.07x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC

[UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) [CS2.ME Browuś pyk pyk ♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CS2.ME%20Browu%C5%9B%20pyk%20pyk%20%E2%99%BF) $75.03 $6.20 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $75.03 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $75.18 | 87.51% | 53 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $75.56 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $74.61 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $75.29 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $75.40 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $75.19 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $75.24 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $75.19 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $75.29 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $75.40 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $75.29 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $75.86 | 87.51% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $76.09 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $75.86 | 87.51% | 53 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $73.52 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $74.74 | 87.50% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 3.8% gold 7.7% covert 7.7% extraordinary 3.8% Ancient 1.3% red 2.6% classified 9.0% pink 12.8% Legendary 3.8% restricted 6.7% rare 1.9% Classified 1.9% violet 14.7% #d32ee6 1.3% Mythical 6.5% uncommon 2.9% blue 11.5% best hit $712 (9.53x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt