---
title: "GIGA BUŁA case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "GIGA BUŁA ($4.85) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 53 items with odds, observed 86.01% over 17.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [GIGA BUŁA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · GIGA BUŁA

A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula?window=all)

Price · $4.85

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $4.24 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.01% · 17.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.85% ±6.64 2,127 openings

7 days · 86.20% ±2.51 14.8K openings

30 days · 86.01% ±2.31 17.5K openings

since tracking started · 86.01% ±2.31 17.5K openings

76.5% 83.8% 91.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula?window=24h) | 2,127 | 83.85% ±6.64 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula?window=7d) | 14.8K | 86.20% ±2.51 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula) | 17.5K | 86.01% ±2.31 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/giga-bula?window=all) | 17.5K | 86.01% ±2.31 | −1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $706 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $287 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $170 | 0.7% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $147 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $140 | 1.0% | 8 | 5.3 | 1.52× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $86.20 | 0.6% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.76× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $54.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 8.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 2,083 | $53.77 | 0.6% | 0 | 8.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,887 | $51.50 | 0.6% | 0 | 9.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $35.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $34.15 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,099 | $23.06 | 0.5% | 0 | 15.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 1,053 | $22.66 | 0.5% | 0 | 16.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 1,042 | $22.47 | 0.5% | 0 | 16.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $19.74 | 0.5% | 0 | 18.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 901 | $19.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 19.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $18.02 | 9.9% | 0 | 410.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $13.27 | 12.4% | 0 | 694.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $10.74 | 13.0% | 988 | 900.4 | 1.10× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $9.86 | 2.6% | 0 | 196.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $7.83 | 2.8% | 0 | 266.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 513 | $7.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 34.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $7.78 | 8.2% | 0 | 783.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $6.91 | 2.4% | 0 | 253.1 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $6.20 | 6.2% | 693 | 741.3 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $5.51 | 3.1% | 0 | 412.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $5.42 | 2.3% | 0 | 308.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $5.39 | 3.1% | 0 | 431.2 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5.23 | 6.2% | 892 | 878.9 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $4.53 | 1.5% | 0 | 252.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $4.50 | 1.3% | 0 | 218.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $4.24 | 2.1% | 0 | 368.6 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $4.13 | 1.4% | 0 | 245.7 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $3.23 | 0.7% | 0 | 155.8 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-factory-new) | 1 in 340 | $3.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 51.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 221 | $3.14 | 0.3% | 0 | 79.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $2.65 | 0.5% | 0 | 132.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 201 | $1.99 | 0.2% | 0 | 87.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $1.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 271.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $1.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 271.4 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $1.24 | 1.6% | 1,006 | 972.2 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $1.18 | 0.5% | 0 | 310.8 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.99 | 1.1% | 0 | 814.3 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| Bossy Burger sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bossy-burger) | 1 in 16 | $0.96 | 1.4% | 1,119 | 1076.8 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $0.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 263.4 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Halftone Shift (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-halftone-shift-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.86 | 0.6% | 0 | 556.2 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Halftone Shift (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-halftone-shift-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.84 | 0.7% | 0 | 574.9 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $0.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 382.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $0.68 | 0.4% | 0 | 390.1 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.66 | 1.1% | 1,219 | 1251.0 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.60 | 0.9% | 0 | 1059.7 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 614.1 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.52 | 0.5% | 0 | 647.2 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/giga-bula`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Sznur123](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Sznur123) $4.85 $285 58.82x 2026-11-08 15:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=giga-bula)

[XM1014 | Halftone Shift weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-halftone-shift) [g](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/g) $4.85 $0.85 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC

[SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) [g](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/g) $4.85 $0.66 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) Hidden $4.85 $5.23 1.08x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale) [tung pow34rskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/tung%20pow34rskins.army) $4.85 $5.59 1.15x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [g0rczoV](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/g0rczoV) $4.85 $10.36 2.14x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[P90 | Wave Breaker weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker) [g0rczoV](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/g0rczoV) $4.85 $0.63 0.13x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) [Edek bambus](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Edek%20bambus) $4.85 $0.66 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline) [Edek bambus](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Edek%20bambus) $4.85 $1.04 0.21x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC

[XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) [Edek bambus](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Edek%20bambus) $4.85 $1.24 0.26x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [Edek bambus](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Edek%20bambus) $4.85 $10.36 2.14x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $4.85 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.85 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $4.85 | 87.81% | 53 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $4.85 | 87.69% | 53 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $4.85 | 87.81% | 53 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $4.85 | 87.66% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $4.85 | 87.81% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $4.85 | 87.55% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.85 | 87.82% | 53 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $4.85 | 87.35% | 53 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $4.85 | 87.40% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.85 | 87.57% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.85 | 87.54% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $4.85 | 87.19% | 53 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $4.85 | 87.34% | 53 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.85 | 87.27% | 53 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $4.85 | 87.19% | 53 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $4.85 | 87.92% | 53 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $4.85 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $4.85 | 87.59% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% gold 0.0% covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% red 0.1% classified 6.4% pink 12.3% Legendary 6.4% restricted 7.0% rare 4.5% Classified 2.4% violet 26.9% #d32ee6 1.4% Mythical 5.2% uncommon 7.6% blue 19.8% best hit $285 (58.82x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt