---
title: "GOLD NOVA JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "GOLD NOVA JOKER ($131.31) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 90 items with odds, observed 90.13% over 1,146 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [GOLD NOVA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · GOLD NOVA JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker?window=all)

Price · $131.31

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $114.89 from 90 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.13% · 1,146 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 99.87% ±33.84 123 openings

7 days · 89.04% ±11.61 1,054 openings

30 days · 90.13% ±11.13 1,146 openings

since tracking started · 90.13% ±11.13 1,146 openings

65.5% 100.0% 134.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker?window=24h) | 123 | 99.87% ±33.8 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker?window=7d) | 1,054 | 89.04% ±11.6 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker) | 1,146 | 90.13% ±11.1 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker?window=all) | 1,146 | 90.13% ±11.1 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 90 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,180 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 32 | $1,337 | 36.4% | 36 | 36.9 | 0.98× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 32 | $640 | 17.4% | 39 | 36.9 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $286 | 7.8% | 48 | 36.9 | 1.30× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $186 | 1.3% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 32 | $165 | 4.5% | 38 | 36.9 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $153 | 1.0% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $152 | 1.0% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $138 | 0.9% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $133 | 3.6% | 32 | 36.9 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $121 | 0.8% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $111 | 1.5% | 0 | 18.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $109 | 0.7% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $105 | 2.9% | 34 | 36.9 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $89.43 | 1.2% | 0 | 18.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $84.46 | 0.6% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $84.07 | 2.3% | 51 | 36.9 | 1.38× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $77.59 | 0.5% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $71.10 | 0.6% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $65.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $63.62 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $63.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $59.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $58.52 | 0.5% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $57.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $56.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $54.22 | 0.5% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $53.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $52.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $51.71 | 1.4% | 38 | 36.9 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $49.95 | 0.5% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $47.52 | 0.4% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $47.44 | 0.4% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $44.56 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $44.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $44.12 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $42.49 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $38.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $38.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $38.45 | 0.3% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $32.02 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $25.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $24.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $24.08 | 0.2% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $23.99 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $23.63 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $23.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $23.12 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $22.81 | 0.2% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $21.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $20.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $20.04 | 0.5% | 0 | 36.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $20.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $18.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $17.64 | 0.2% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $16.96 | 0.5% | 33 | 36.9 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $16.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $15.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 36.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $15.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $15.42 | 0.4% | 0 | 36.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $14.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $14.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $14.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $11.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $9.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $9.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $9.33 | 0.1% | 0 | 12.3 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $8.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $7.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $6.91 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $6.59 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $5.55 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $5.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $5.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $5.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $5.16 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $5.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $5.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $4.88 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $4.59 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $4.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $4.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $4.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $4.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $4.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $3.87 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $3.71 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $3.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $3.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $3.63 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $3.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 7.4 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/gold-nova-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $135 $1,417 10.53x 2026-11-06 17:34 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $135 $1,417 10.53x 2026-11-06 11:48 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $134 $1,408 10.52x 2026-11-08 21:05 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Bee](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Bee) $134 $1,408 10.52x 2026-11-08 20:07 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $134 $1,408 10.52x 2026-11-08 19:48 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $134 $1,408 10.52x 2026-11-08 18:25 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $134 $1,408 10.52x 2026-11-08 18:14 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $134 $1,408 10.52x 2026-11-08 13:21 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $134 $1,408 10.49x 2026-11-07 20:45 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $134 $1,408 10.49x 2026-11-07 20:28 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=gold-nova-joker)

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [????Tysiak™](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%3F%3F%3F%3FTysiak%E2%84%A2) $132 $7.44 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray) Hidden $132 $16.54 0.13x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $132 $280 2.12x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Olympus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus) Hidden $132 $5.01 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/dzs4z0n) $132 $164 1.25x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental) Hidden $132 $23.53 0.18x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC

[M4A4 | 龍王 weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4) Hidden $132 $17.05 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC

[Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $132 $280 2.12x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC

[Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Death13) $132 $280 2.12x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast) Hidden $132 $47.63 0.36x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $131 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $132 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $133 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $133 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $133 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $133 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $134 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $133 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $134 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $134 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $135 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $133 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $134 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $134 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $134 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $135 | 87.50% | 90 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 6.3% covert 29.4% classified 10.6% sunny 3.1% Ancient 1.8% rare 6.0% red 3.4% extraordinary 3.1% restricted 2.5% Legendary 5.2% #d32ee6 1.4% pink 24.1% Classified 2.5% #8847ff 0.6% best hit $1,417 (10.53x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt