---
title: "GOLD NOVA case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "GOLD NOVA ($26.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 90 items with odds, observed 86.16% over 17.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [GOLD NOVA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · GOLD NOVA

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova?window=all)

Price · $26.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $22.75 from 90 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.16% · 17.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.38% ±4.47 2,818 openings

7 days · 86.12% ±1.84 16.7K openings

30 days · 86.16% ±1.79 17.7K openings

since tracking started · 86.16% ±1.79 17.7K openings

82.5% 87.5% 92.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova?window=24h) | 2,818 | 87.38% ±4.47 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova?window=7d) | 16.7K | 86.12% ±1.84 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova) | 17.7K | 86.16% ±1.79 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova?window=all) | 17.7K | 86.16% ±1.79 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 90 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,337 | 1.2% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 3,333 | $640 | 0.8% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.56× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $286 | 0.8% | 5 | 10.7 | 0.47× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $186 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,429 | $165 | 0.5% | 10 | 12.4 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $153 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $152 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $138 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $133 | 0.5% | 17 | 14.2 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $121 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $111 | 0.2% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $109 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $105 | 0.5% | 21 | 17.8 | 1.18× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $89.43 | 3.5% | 0 | 159.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 323 | $84.46 | 1.2% | 0 | 55.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $84.07 | 6.4% | 427 | 307.2 | 1.39× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $77.59 | 1.6% | 0 | 81.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $71.10 | 1.7% | 0 | 97.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 154 | $65.16 | 1.9% | 0 | 115.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 233 | $63.62 | 1.2% | 0 | 76.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 370 | $63.19 | 0.7% | 0 | 47.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $59.23 | 1.0% | 0 | 71.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 208 | $58.52 | 1.2% | 0 | 85.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $57.30 | 1.3% | 0 | 88.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 227 | $56.50 | 1.1% | 0 | 78.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $54.22 | 1.4% | 0 | 104.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 263 | $53.32 | 0.9% | 0 | 67.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 196 | $52.30 | 1.2% | 0 | 90.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $51.71 | 4.0% | 277 | 314.3 | 0.88× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $49.95 | 1.5% | 0 | 124.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $47.52 | 1.5% | 0 | 129.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $47.44 | 1.2% | 0 | 104.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 182 | $44.56 | 1.1% | 0 | 97.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $44.54 | 1.3% | 0 | 119.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $44.12 | 1.1% | 0 | 99.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $42.49 | 1.1% | 0 | 106.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $38.75 | 8.3% | 0 | 868.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $38.50 | 0.6% | 0 | 62.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $38.45 | 6.9% | 0 | 724.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $32.02 | 8.3% | 0 | 1045.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $25.61 | 1.0% | 0 | 154.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $24.62 | 0.9% | 0 | 149.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $24.08 | 1.1% | 0 | 190.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $23.99 | 1.0% | 0 | 161.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $23.63 | 0.9% | 0 | 158.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $23.61 | 1.0% | 0 | 165.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $23.12 | 1.0% | 0 | 168.7 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $22.81 | 0.9% | 0 | 165.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $21.57 | 1.0% | 0 | 179.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 76 | $20.78 | 1.2% | 0 | 234.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $20.04 | 1.0% | 0 | 193.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $20.00 | 1.2% | 0 | 246.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 435 | $18.53 | 0.2% | 0 | 40.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $17.64 | 0.9% | 0 | 216.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $16.96 | 3.1% | 745 | 736.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 278 | $16.14 | 0.3% | 0 | 63.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $15.70 | 1.1% | 0 | 271.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $15.54 | 1.0% | 0 | 257.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $15.42 | 1.1% | 0 | 278.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $14.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 56.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $14.43 | 1.0% | 0 | 285.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $14.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 71.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $11.25 | 0.7% | 0 | 255.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $9.53 | 0.3% | 0 | 133.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $9.35 | 0.8% | 0 | 330.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The End (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $9.33 | 0.8% | 0 | 332.0 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $8.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 97.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $7.60 | 0.3% | 0 | 168.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $6.91 | 0.3% | 0 | 165.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $6.59 | 0.3% | 0 | 165.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $5.55 | 0.3% | 0 | 225.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $5.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 287.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $5.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 296.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $5.37 | 0.4% | 0 | 275.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $5.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 316.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $5.09 | 0.4% | 0 | 296.5 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $5.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 211.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $4.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 314.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $4.59 | 0.3% | 0 | 293.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $4.46 | 0.3% | 0 | 305.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $4.30 | 0.3% | 0 | 321.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $4.24 | 0.3% | 0 | 324.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $4.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 346.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $4.01 | 0.3% | 0 | 351.6 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $3.87 | 0.3% | 0 | 307.2 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $3.71 | 0.3% | 0 | 326.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $3.70 | 0.3% | 0 | 369.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $3.70 | 0.3% | 0 | 369.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $3.63 | 0.3% | 0 | 378.2 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $3.60 | 0.3% | 0 | 333.8 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/gold-nova`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $26.00 $1,417 54.49x 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $26.00 $1,377 52.96x 2026-11-06 18:19 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $26.00 $1,360 52.31x 2026-11-10 16:12 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $26.00 $663 25.50x 2026-11-04 16:03 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Alucard4](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Alucard4) $26.00 $649 24.96x 2026-11-10 06:17 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $26.00 $640 24.63x 2026-11-10 18:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=gold-nova)

[AWP | Mortis weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis) [WIĘCEJ SPRZĘTU NIŻ TALENTU?](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/WI%C4%98CEJ%20SPRZ%C4%98TU%20NI%C5%BB%20TALENTU%3F) $26.00 $5.15 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC

[AK-47 | The Oligarch weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch) [kaCzoR\_kill4Fun](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kaCzoR_kill4Fun) $26.00 $35.42 1.36x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $4.96 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $40.21 1.55x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[AWP | Mortis weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $5.15 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $51.71 1.99x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $6.05 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[USP-S | Cyrex weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $5.64 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $6.05 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[AK-47 | The Oligarch weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch) [Gilathiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Gilathiss) $26.00 $35.42 1.36x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $26.00 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $26.00 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $26.00 | 87.35% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $26.00 | 87.34% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $26.00 | 87.32% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $26.00 | 87.49% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $26.00 | 87.48% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $26.00 | 87.34% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $26.00 | 87.30% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $26.00 | 87.41% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $26.00 | 87.68% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $26.00 | 87.56% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $26.00 | 87.68% | 90 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $26.00 | 87.69% | 90 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $26.00 | 87.69% | 90 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $26.00 | 87.68% | 90 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $26.00 | 87.69% | 90 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $26.00 | 87.68% | 90 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 1.7% covert 9.0% classified 13.5% sunny 0.1% Ancient 4.9% rare 10.8% red 5.5% extraordinary 1.8% restricted 5.4% Legendary 8.2% #d32ee6 2.7% pink 29.6% Classified 4.8% #8847ff 2.1% best hit $1,417 (54.49x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt