---
title: "GUARD case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "GUARD ($8.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 91 items with odds, observed 87.58% over 21.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [GUARD](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · GUARD

A case on Casehug (BATTLE), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard?window=all)

Price · $8.50

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $7.44 from 91 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.58% · 21.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.47% ±4.85 2,659 openings

7 days · 87.03% ±1.81 18.1K openings

30 days · 87.58% ±1.66 21.2K openings

since tracking started · 87.58% ±1.66 21.2K openings

83.0% 88.5% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard?window=24h) | 2,659 | 88.47% ±4.85 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard?window=7d) | 18.1K | 87.03% ±1.81 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard) | 21.2K | 87.58% ±1.66 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard?window=all) | 21.2K | 87.58% ±1.66 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 91 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $697 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $580 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $446 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $426 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $340 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $277 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.88× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $229 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $200 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $196 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $196 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $195 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $172 | 0.2% | 6 | 1.7 | 3.53× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $164 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $150 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $146 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $125 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $119 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $116 | 0.2% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.28× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $114 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $111 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $108 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $102 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $93.57 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $90.51 | 0.2% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.45× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $87.71 | 0.2% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.01× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $79.28 | 0.2% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $75.96 | 0.2% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $75.90 | 0.2% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $74.10 | 0.2% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $67.12 | 0.2% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $66.23 | 0.2% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.83× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $63.82 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.74× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $60.22 | 0.2% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.47× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $58.20 | 0.2% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.18× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $55.72 | 0.2% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.35× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $54.89 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 4,348 | $52.17 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $47.11 | 0.2% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.32× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $45.37 | 0.2% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $41.17 | 0.2% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.18× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 3,448 | $41.03 | 0.2% | 7 | 6.2 | 1.14× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $40.79 | 0.2% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $38.37 | 0.2% | 2 | 6.4 | 0.31× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $38.14 | 0.2% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $38.08 | 0.2% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $37.36 | 0.2% | 3 | 6.6 | 0.46× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $34.78 | 0.2% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $27.19 | 4.3% | 240 | 247.0 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $26.89 | 4.3% | 264 | 249.7 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $24.24 | 4.3% | 248 | 277.1 | 0.89× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $22.44 | 4.3% | 291 | 299.2 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $19.97 | 2.7% | 240 | 212.1 | 1.13× |
| [P2000 \| Dispatch (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-dispatch-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $15.77 | 2.7% | 275 | 268.6 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $15.07 | 2.7% | 271 | 281.2 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $14.84 | 2.7% | 317 | 285.2 | 1.11× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $14.44 | 2.7% | 264 | 293.3 | 0.90× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $14.35 | 2.7% | 274 | 295.2 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $13.37 | 2.7% | 287 | 316.6 | 0.91× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $13.27 | 2.7% | 336 | 319.2 | 1.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $11.05 | 3.8% | 648 | 546.6 | 1.19× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $8.86 | 3.8% | 800 | 681.4 | 1.17× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $8.74 | 3.8% | 760 | 691.0 | 1.10× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $8.68 | 3.8% | 677 | 695.7 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $8.68 | 3.8% | 547 | 695.7 | 0.79× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $7.97 | 1.9% | 363 | 370.6 | 0.98× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $6.64 | 1.7% | 383 | 415.8 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $6.56 | 1.7% | 406 | 417.9 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $6.24 | 1.7% | 456 | 426.2 | 1.07× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $6.07 | 1.7% | 389 | 431.1 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $5.56 | 1.6% | 454 | 446.4 | 1.02× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $5.40 | 1.5% | 485 | 451.5 | 1.07× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $5.17 | 1.5% | 439 | 459.5 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $4.88 | 1.5% | 502 | 470.4 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $4.73 | 1.4% | 466 | 476.1 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $4.67 | 1.4% | 482 | 478.6 | 1.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $4.45 | 1.4% | 467 | 488.0 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $4.21 | 1.3% | 486 | 498.8 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $4.13 | 1.3% | 470 | 502.6 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $4.02 | 1.3% | 530 | 508.2 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3.66 | 1.2% | 513 | 527.7 | 0.97× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $3.06 | 1.1% | 576 | 566.8 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $2.92 | 1.1% | 612 | 577.6 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $2.66 | 1.0% | 589 | 599.3 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $2.52 | 1.0% | 597 | 612.4 | 0.97× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $2.45 | 1.0% | 599 | 619.4 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Fubar (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $2.33 | 0.9% | 605 | 632.0 | 0.96× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $2.05 | 0.9% | 695 | 665.1 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $1.99 | 0.8% | 670 | 673.1 | 1.00× |
| [MP7 \| Prey (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-prey-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $1.99 | 0.8% | 705 | 673.1 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| Winding Scorch (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winding-scorch-foil) | 1 in 31 | $1.91 | 0.8% | 734 | 684.4 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) | 1 in 28 | $1.58 | 0.8% | 697 | 754.3 | 0.92× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/guard`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.50 $426 50.12x 2026-11-06 11:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=guard)

[MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) [Witold Pilecki](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Witold%20Pilecki) $8.50 $4.88 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) [KomincSKINS.\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/KomincSKINS.*********-76561199393078295) $8.50 $8.68 1.02x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.50 $5.17 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) [ziutek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziutek) $8.50 $1.58 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) [Witold Pilecki](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Witold%20Pilecki) $8.50 $3.06 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) [KomincSKINS.\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/KomincSKINS.*********-76561199393078295) $8.50 $4.88 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.50 $8.74 1.03x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[P2000 | Dispatch (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-dispatch-field-tested) Hidden $8.50 $15.77 1.86x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) [RuJiRu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/RuJiRu) $8.50 $19.97 2.35x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) Hidden $8.50 $4.67 0.55x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $8.50 | 87.50% | 91 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $8.50 | 87.33% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $8.50 | 87.48% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $8.50 | 87.82% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $8.50 | 87.32% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $8.50 | 87.54% | 91 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $8.50 | 87.32% | 91 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $8.50 | 87.59% | 91 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $8.50 | 87.54% | 91 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $8.50 | 87.59% | 91 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $8.50 | 87.54% | 91 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $8.50 | 87.59% | 91 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $8.50 | 87.51% | 91 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $8.50 | 87.80% | 91 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $8.50 | 87.27% | 91 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $8.50 | 87.37% | 91 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $8.50 | 87.52% | 91 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $8.50 | 87.82% | 91 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $8.50 | 87.68% | 91 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $8.50 | 87.33% | 91 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $8.50 | 87.68% | 91 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 0.3% extraordinary 0.1% Ancient 0.2% rare 1.2% Immortal 0.1% sunny 0.0% red 0.0% pink 7.4% Legendary 23.3% classified 14.6% Rare 1.3% uncommon 7.0% #d32ee6 1.4% restricted 10.9% violet 6.8% Classified 1.7% Mythical 2.7% blue 5.7% #8847ff 2.8% #4b69ff 2.9% mil spec 3.2% gray 3.2% #d32ce6 3.2% best hit $426 (50.12x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt