---
title: "HLTV V2 JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "HLTV V2 JOKER ($103.56) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 83 items with odds, observed 94.23% over 579 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [HLTV V2 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · HLTV V2 JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker?window=all)

Price · $103.56

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $90.61 from 83 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.23% · 579 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 80 openings · below min

7 days · 94.48% ±11.81 401 openings

30 days · 94.23% ±9.84 579 openings

since tracking started · 94.23% ±9.84 579 openings

82.0% 109.0% 136.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker?window=24h) | 80 | 109.90% ±25.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker?window=7d) | 401 | 94.48% ±11.8 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker) | 579 | 94.23% ±9.84 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2-joker?window=all) | 579 | 94.23% ±9.84 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 83 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 584 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $618 | 26.2% | 25 | 22.5 | 1.11× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $310 | 13.2% | 32 | 22.5 | 1.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $262 | 3.7% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $192 | 2.7% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $152 | 3.2% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $147 | 2.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $147 | 2.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $138 | 2.9% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $138 | 1.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $135 | 1.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $135 | 1.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $133 | 1.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $125 | 5.3% | 19 | 22.5 | 0.85× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $112 | 2.4% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $97.75 | 2.1% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $88.86 | 1.3% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $77.59 | 0.8% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $77.59 | 1.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $71.10 | 1.0% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $65.55 | 0.7% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $65.16 | 0.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $65.01 | 0.7% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $63.62 | 0.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $61.64 | 0.7% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $59.33 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $56.83 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $55.91 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $54.76 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $54.22 | 0.8% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $53.66 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $53.47 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $49.95 | 0.7% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $48.42 | 0.7% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $46.28 | 0.5% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $44.98 | 0.5% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $44.72 | 0.5% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $44.56 | 0.6% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $44.12 | 0.6% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $42.49 | 0.6% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $42.06 | 0.6% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $41.25 | 0.6% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $41.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $41.03 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $40.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $40.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $38.86 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $37.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $36.92 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $36.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $35.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $35.52 | 0.5% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $34.02 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $33.48 | 0.5% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $33.06 | 0.4% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $31.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $23.94 | 0.5% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $19.31 | 0.4% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $18.53 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $11.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $8.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $8.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $7.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $6.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $6.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $6.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $5.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $5.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $5.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $5.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.5 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $5.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $4.94 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $4.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $4.74 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $4.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $4.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $4.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $4.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $3.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $3.87 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $3.71 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $3.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $3.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $3.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/hltv-v2-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [rzurek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/rzurek) $106 $627 5.92x 2026-11-06 18:39 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $106 $627 5.92x 2026-11-04 23:05 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $106 $627 5.92x 2026-11-04 21:19 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [CHOUCHA](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/CHOUCHA) $106 $627 5.92x 2026-11-04 20:11 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [leosia\_krolowa](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/leosia_krolowa) $106 $623 5.90x 2026-11-04 12:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $106 $623 5.90x 2026-11-04 01:31 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [M9/BF GW Code : zurys](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/M9%2FBF%20GW%20Code%20%3A%20zurys) $106 $623 5.90x 2026-11-03 17:36 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $106 $623 5.90x 2026-11-03 17:35 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $104 $622 5.99x 2026-11-08 19:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $104 $622 5.99x 2026-11-08 19:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=hltv-v2-joker)

[P2000 | Wicked Sick weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick) Hidden $104 $4.23 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir) Hidden $104 $136 1.31x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast) Hidden $104 $43.72 0.42x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir) [M3L3R](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/M3L3R) $104 $46.02 0.44x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker) Hidden $104 $7.55 0.07x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir) Hidden $104 $136 1.31x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir) Hidden $104 $42.04 0.41x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) [M3L3R](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/M3L3R) $104 $310 3.00x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport) Hidden $104 $145 1.40x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir) Hidden $104 $42.04 0.41x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $104 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $100 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $100 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $101 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $103 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $105 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $104 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $104 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $105 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 3 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $105 | 87.50% | 83 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 3.8% covert 51.9% red 8.7% Ancient 7.4% Covert 1.3% violet 1.9% restricted 1.9% pink 9.4% classified 8.5% Classified 2.7% Legendary 2.5% best hit $627 (5.92x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt