---
title: "HLTV V2 case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "HLTV V2 ($18.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 83 items with odds, observed 88.49% over 4,851 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [HLTV V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · HLTV V2

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2?window=all)

Price · $18.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $15.75 from 83 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.49% · 4,851 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.02% ±6.94 1,136 openings

7 days · 89.66% ±3.68 4,266 openings

30 days · 88.49% ±3.46 4,851 openings

since tracking started · 88.49% ±3.46 4,851 openings

79.5% 87.0% 94.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2?window=24h) | 1,136 | 87.02% ±6.94 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2?window=7d) | 4,266 | 89.66% ±3.68 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2) | 4,851 | 88.49% ±3.46 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v2?window=all) | 4,851 | 88.49% ±3.46 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 83 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,859 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $546 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $307 | 0.8% | 6 | 1.9 | 3.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $253 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $196 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $152 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $148 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $147 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $146 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $139 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $137 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $137 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $136 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $125 | 0.7% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.14× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $112 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $97.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $83.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 1,250 | $82.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 3.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $74.67 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $71.74 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 435 | $66.23 | 1.0% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 263 | $65.16 | 1.6% | 0 | 18.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 526 | $64.37 | 0.8% | 0 | 9.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $61.72 | 0.8% | 0 | 10.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 227 | $60.74 | 1.7% | 0 | 21.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 435 | $56.82 | 0.8% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 303 | $55.72 | 1.2% | 0 | 16.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 208 | $54.96 | 1.7% | 0 | 23.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 303 | $54.68 | 1.1% | 0 | 16.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 286 | $54.01 | 1.2% | 0 | 17.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $53.92 | 1.7% | 0 | 24.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $51.70 | 1.2% | 0 | 18.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 238 | $48.87 | 1.3% | 0 | 20.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 208 | $46.69 | 1.4% | 0 | 23.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 278 | $45.56 | 1.0% | 0 | 17.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 263 | $44.56 | 1.1% | 0 | 18.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 204 | $44.40 | 1.4% | 0 | 23.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $43.39 | 1.5% | 0 | 25.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 189 | $42.72 | 1.4% | 0 | 25.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 182 | $42.22 | 1.5% | 0 | 26.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 179 | $41.83 | 1.5% | 0 | 27.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 233 | $41.71 | 1.1% | 0 | 20.9 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $41.50 | 1.2% | 0 | 21.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 238 | $40.36 | 1.1% | 0 | 20.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 164 | $40.36 | 1.6% | 0 | 29.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 233 | $40.12 | 1.1% | 0 | 20.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 217 | $39.11 | 1.1% | 0 | 22.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $38.08 | 1.2% | 0 | 23.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 208 | $37.90 | 1.2% | 0 | 23.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 189 | $37.79 | 1.3% | 0 | 25.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 185 | $37.41 | 1.3% | 0 | 26.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $37.09 | 1.3% | 0 | 26.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 175 | $35.86 | 1.3% | 0 | 27.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 145 | $31.55 | 1.4% | 0 | 33.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $31.49 | 1.5% | 0 | 36.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $29.59 | 1.6% | 0 | 40.8 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 13.8% | $23.98 | 21.0% | 0 | 669.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $18.64 | 2.8% | 0 | 116.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $17.56 | 3.9% | 0 | 172.0 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 123 | $11.02 | 0.6% | 0 | 39.4 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $8.80 | 1.1% | 0 | 94.3 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $8.69 | 0.5% | 0 | 41.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $7.97 | 0.7% | 0 | 71.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $6.78 | 0.6% | 0 | 70.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $6.22 | 0.7% | 0 | 87.5 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $6.07 | 0.6% | 0 | 78.7 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $5.65 | 1.3% | 0 | 175.4 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $5.40 | 0.8% | 0 | 106.4 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $5.17 | 0.6% | 0 | 85.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $5.12 | 0.9% | 0 | 133.6 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $5.10 | 1.4% | 0 | 202.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $5.10 | 0.9% | 0 | 134.1 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $4.94 | 0.8% | 0 | 120.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $4.66 | 0.8% | 0 | 130.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $4.61 | 0.9% | 0 | 154.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $4.21 | 0.8% | 0 | 137.0 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $4.21 | 0.7% | 0 | 131.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $4.02 | 0.8% | 0 | 146.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $3.96 | 0.8% | 0 | 149.2 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $3.73 | 0.7% | 0 | 134.1 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $3.58 | 0.7% | 0 | 141.9 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $3.53 | 0.7% | 0 | 144.8 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $3.49 | 0.8% | 0 | 171.0 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $3.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 179.3 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/hltv-v2`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $18.00 $623 34.63x 2026-11-04 14:13 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=hltv-v2)

[Galil AR | Orange DDPAT weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat) Hidden $18.00 $22.67 1.26x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy) Hidden $18.00 $6.04 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) Hidden $18.00 $5.37 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus) [.](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/) $18.00 $5.37 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker) [Kaprix skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Kaprix%20skins.army) $18.00 $7.10 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[P2000 | Wicked Sick weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick) Hidden $18.00 $4.01 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker) Hidden $18.00 $7.10 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir) [Salik skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Salik%20skins.army) $18.00 $42.31 2.35x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P2000 | Wicked Sick weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick) Hidden $18.00 $4.01 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy) Hidden $18.00 $6.04 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $18.00 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $18.00 | 87.70% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $18.00 | 87.77% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $18.00 | 87.74% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $18.00 | 87.71% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $18.00 | 87.74% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $18.00 | 87.71% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $18.00 | 87.69% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $18.00 | 87.67% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $18.00 | 87.69% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $18.00 | 87.83% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $18.00 | 87.67% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $18.00 | 87.61% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $18.00 | 87.14% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $18.00 | 87.51% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $18.00 | 87.14% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $18.00 | 87.51% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $18.00 | 87.95% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $18.00 | 87.61% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $18.00 | 87.20% | 83 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $18.00 | 87.61% | 83 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $18.00 | 87.50% | 83 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $18.00 | 87.66% | 83 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.0% covert 10.6% red 3.8% Ancient 2.4% Covert 0.5% violet 13.8% pink 30.1% restricted 3.5% classified 23.5% Classified 5.1% Legendary 6.7% best hit $623 (34.63x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt