---
title: "HORUS case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "HORUS ($9.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 56 items with odds, observed 87.56% over 8,221 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [HORUS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · HORUS

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus?window=all)

Price · $9.50

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $8.31 from 56 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.56% · 8,221 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 56.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.00% ±11.02 1,246 openings

7 days · 88.74% ±4.91 6,661 openings

30 days · 87.56% ±4.41 8,221 openings

since tracking started · 87.56% ±4.41 8,221 openings

76.5% 88.0% 99.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus?window=24h) | 1,246 | 88.00% ±11.0 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus?window=7d) | 6,661 | 88.74% ±4.91 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus) | 8,221 | 87.56% ±4.41 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/horus?window=all) | 8,221 | 87.56% ±4.41 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,243 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,887 | $513 | 3.3% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.37× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-well-worn) | 1 in 2,778 | $226 | 1.0% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $223 | 1.0% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,587 | $171 | 1.3% | 0 | 5.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 472 | $126 | 3.2% | 28 | 17.5 | 1.60× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $83.46 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $65.16 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $63.72 | 0.6% | 0 | 6.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $49.23 | 0.8% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 606 | $48.39 | 1.0% | 0 | 13.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-well-worn) | 1 in 625 | $46.07 | 0.9% | 0 | 13.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 658 | $44.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 12.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-battle-scarred) | 1 in 442 | $41.36 | 1.1% | 0 | 18.6 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-well-worn) | 1 in 431 | $40.77 | 1.1% | 0 | 19.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 543 | $40.71 | 0.9% | 0 | 15.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-battle-scarred) | 1 in 469 | $39.94 | 1.0% | 0 | 17.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 510 | $39.47 | 0.9% | 0 | 16.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $20.02 | 15.8% | 0 | 539.6 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Sobek's Bite (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sobeks-bite-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $15.27 | 10.5% | 0 | 470.4 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $14.64 | 10.4% | 0 | 489.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $13.58 | 1.6% | 0 | 82.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $11.80 | 6.5% | 0 | 378.6 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 10.1% | $11.44 | 13.9% | 0 | 831.0 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $10.97 | 1.7% | 0 | 105.5 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Sobek's Bite (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sobeks-bite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $10.95 | 7.4% | 0 | 460.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $10.48 | 1.3% | 0 | 86.1 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $8.08 | 0.9% | 0 | 73.7 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $7.76 | 0.9% | 0 | 78.0 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $7.60 | 0.9% | 0 | 80.3 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sobeks-bite-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $6.93 | 1.2% | 0 | 116.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $6.17 | 1.2% | 0 | 131.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-minimal-wear) | 1 in 184 | $5.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 44.8 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-factory-new) | 1 in 170 | $3.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 48.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 110 | $3.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 74.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $3.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 80.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164 | $3.59 | 0.3% | 0 | 50.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $3.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 86.9 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $2.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 103.0 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Azure Glyph (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-azure-glyph-factory-new) | 1 in 424 | $2.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 19.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $2.36 | 0.3% | 0 | 97.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) | 1 in 433 | $2.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 19.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $2.25 | 0.3% | 0 | 96.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $2.20 | 0.3% | 0 | 99.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $2.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 109.1 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.19 | 0.5% | 0 | 315.8 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $1.06 | 0.5% | 0 | 299.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Red Tide (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-factory-new) | 1 in 244 | $0.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 33.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $0.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 88.9 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Azure Glyph (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-azure-glyph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $0.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 150.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-battle-scarred) | 1 in 57 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 144.6 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Red Tide (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $0.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 85.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $0.44 | 0.1% | 0 | 187.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 269.0 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Azure Glyph (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-azure-glyph-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 714.9 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Red Tide (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 458.7 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Red Tide (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 458.7 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/horus`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [SWEETIE JEW](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/SWEETIE%20JEW) $9.50 $530 55.77x 2026-11-04 22:12 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [SZCZ3N4](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/SZCZ3N4) $9.50 $525 55.25x 2026-11-08 13:55 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $9.50 $520 54.73x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $9.50 $520 54.73x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $9.50 $519 54.60x 2026-11-07 08:21 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $9.50 $513 54.03x 2026-11-11 10:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=horus)

[M4A1-S | Mud-Spec weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec) Hidden $9.50 $0.51 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[P90 | ScaraB Rush weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush) Hidden $9.50 $12.45 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[P90 | ScaraB Rush weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush) Hidden $9.50 $12.45 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mud-Spec weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec) [sfinkens.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/sfinkens.skins.army) $9.50 $0.51 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[SSG 08 | Azure Glyph weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-azure-glyph) Hidden $9.50 $0.32 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot) Hidden $9.50 $3.44 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Nova | Sobek's Bite weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sobeks-bite) Hidden $9.50 $12.44 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[P250 | Red Tide weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide) [sfinkens.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/sfinkens.skins.army) $9.50 $0.21 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[P250 | Red Tide weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide) Hidden $9.50 $0.21 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[AWP | Black Nile weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile) Hidden $9.50 $6.05 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $9.50 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $9.50 | 87.56% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $9.50 | 87.43% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $9.50 | 87.16% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $9.50 | 87.12% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $9.50 | 87.80% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $9.50 | 87.21% | 56 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $9.50 | 87.80% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $9.50 | 87.12% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $9.50 | 87.29% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $9.50 | 87.42% | 56 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $9.50 | 87.16% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $9.50 | 87.88% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $9.50 | 87.49% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $9.50 | 87.44% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $9.50 | 87.49% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $9.50 | 87.44% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $9.50 | 87.72% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $9.50 | 87.52% | 56 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $9.50 | 87.14% | 56 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.6% red 0.2% classified 0.7% violet 35.3% Ancient 0.2% pink 0.3% #d32ce6 0.2% #4b69ff 4.6% restricted 4.6% mil spec 1.3% blue 23.8% #8847ff 4.4% Rare 3.4% Mil Spec Grade 1.1% blueLight 12.5% Uncommon 0.2% light blue 4.3% Industrial Grade 2.3% best hit $530 (55.77x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt