---
title: "INSECTOR case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "INSECTOR ($2.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 61 items with odds, observed 86.34% over 16.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [INSECTOR](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · INSECTOR

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector?window=all)

Price · $2.50

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $2.19 from 61 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.34% · 16.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 8.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82.65% ±12.61 2,050 openings

7 days · 86.70% ±4.71 14.6K openings

30 days · 86.34% ±4.41 16.6K openings

since tracking started · 86.34% ±4.41 16.6K openings

69.5% 82.7% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector?window=24h) | 2,050 | 82.65% ±12.6 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector?window=7d) | 14.6K | 86.70% ±4.71 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector) | 16.6K | 86.34% ±4.41 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector?window=all) | 16.6K | 86.34% ±4.41 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 61 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $697 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 33,333 | $637 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 20,000 | $309 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $219 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $131 | 1.2% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $121 | 1.1% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,632 | $95.90 | 1.7% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 4) weapon · red · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-4) | 1 in 2,439 | $90.25 | 1.7% | 5 | 6.8 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 1,786 | $65.16 | 1.7% | 11 | 9.3 | 1.18× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,299 | $47.11 | 1.7% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.94× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $23.72 | 1.6% | 29 | 25.1 | 1.15× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 549 | $19.72 | 1.6% | 32 | 30.3 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $12.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,087 | $12.50 | 0.5% | 0 | 15.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $8.90 | 6.2% | 0 | 253.3 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $8.86 | 3.6% | 0 | 146.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $7.65 | 4.1% | 0 | 194.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $6.73 | 4.4% | 0 | 239.1 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 376 | $6.03 | 0.7% | 0 | 44.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $5.89 | 2.8% | 0 | 172.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 178 | $5.88 | 1.5% | 0 | 93.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $5.56 | 1.6% | 0 | 104.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 238 | $4.99 | 1.0% | 0 | 70.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 229 | $4.90 | 1.0% | 0 | 72.6 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 216 | $4.88 | 1.0% | 0 | 77.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 207 | $4.80 | 1.1% | 0 | 80.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $4.45 | 1.1% | 0 | 88.1 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $4.33 | 1.0% | 0 | 86.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $4.24 | 1.2% | 0 | 102.9 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $4.22 | 1.2% | 0 | 103.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $4.21 | 4.1% | 362 | 353.8 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $4.16 | 1.2% | 0 | 106.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 145 | $4.01 | 1.3% | 0 | 114.9 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-well-worn) | 1 in 158 | $3.92 | 1.1% | 0 | 105.1 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $3.73 | 2.9% | 0 | 279.9 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $3.66 | 3.2% | 0 | 322.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $3.04 | 3.4% | 0 | 412.3 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $2.68 | 4.0% | 0 | 542.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $2.63 | 3.4% | 0 | 465.1 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $2.60 | 4.1% | 0 | 576.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 73 | $1.58 | 1.0% | 0 | 227.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.51 | 5.0% | 1,169 | 1201.0 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.39 | 3.3% | 0 | 851.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $1.35 | 0.5% | 0 | 143.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $1.24 | 1.1% | 0 | 329.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $1.16 | 2.9% | 0 | 926.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $1.16 | 1.2% | 0 | 362.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $1.14 | 1.2% | 0 | 371.0 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 202 | $0.99 | 0.2% | 0 | 82.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) | 1 in 172 | $0.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 97.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.55 | 0.8% | 0 | 504.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.52 | 0.8% | 0 | 545.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $0.50 | 0.8% | 0 | 576.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $0.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 224.8 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $0.34 | 0.3% | 0 | 368.7 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.29 | 0.4% | 0 | 460.6 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 774.8 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 774.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.16 | 0.3% | 0 | 782.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 863.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 856.0 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/insector`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [BlindBoy](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/BlindBoy) $2.50 $312 124.8x 2026-11-05 15:25 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $219 87.44x 2026-11-07 20:39 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [҉k҉a҉c҉p҉e҉r҉i҉x҉](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/%D2%89k%D2%89a%D2%89c%D2%89p%D2%89e%D2%89r%D2%89i%D2%89x%D2%89) $2.50 $218 87.09x 2026-11-09 23:56 UTC

[AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $131 52.44x 2026-11-10 18:45 UTC

[AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) [Im just a gamer :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Im%20just%20a%20gamer%20%3A3) $2.50 $131 52.44x 2026-11-10 14:51 UTC

[AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) [Dancing With All My Might](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Dancing%20With%20All%20My%20Might) $2.50 $128 51.39x 2026-11-04 21:57 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=insector)

[Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo) Hidden $2.50 $2.86 1.14x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-field-tested) [NRForceTomi](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/NRForceTomi) $2.50 $1.51 0.60x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated) [NRForceTomi](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/NRForceTomi) $2.50 $1.93 0.77x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated) [srax](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/srax) $2.50 $1.93 0.77x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[G3SG1 | Hunter weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter) [srax](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/srax) $2.50 $0.26 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain) [srax](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/srax) $2.50 $5.70 2.28x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[G3SG1 | Hunter weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter) [srax](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/srax) $2.50 $0.26 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated) Hidden $2.50 $1.93 0.77x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex) Hidden $2.50 $0.19 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $4.21 1.68x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.50 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.50 | 87.49% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.50 | 87.43% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2.50 | 87.44% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.50 | 87.68% | 61 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.50 | 87.86% | 61 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2.50 | 87.57% | 61 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $2.50 | 87.66% | 61 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.50 | 87.28% | 61 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $2.50 | 87.89% | 61 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.50 | 87.60% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $2.50 | 86.92% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $2.50 | 87.72% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.50 | 87.46% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $2.50 | 87.72% | 61 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.50 | 87.46% | 61 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 0.2% red 0.0% classified 3.4% #d32ee6 0.6% Legendary 7.9% Mythical 0.1% pink 17.0% restricted 20.0% Classified 4.0% blueLight 7.2% violet 5.6% #8847ff 2.2% blue 16.1% Rare 5.3% #4b69ff 5.2% milspec 5.1% best hit $312 (124.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt