---
title: "ISAMU V1 case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "ISAMU V1 ($0.50) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 53 items with odds, observed 86.10% over 112K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [ISAMU V1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · ISAMU V1

A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1?window=all)

Price · $0.50

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $0.44 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.10% · 112K openings, odds method

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.76% ±3.97 13.1K openings

7 days · 85.69% ±1.49 92.3K openings

30 days · 86.10% ±1.36 112K openings

since tracking started · 86.10% ±1.36 112K openings

79.0% 83.8% 88.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.56% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (84.74% – 87.46%, 111,591 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1?window=24h) | 13.1K | 83.76% ±3.97 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1?window=7d) | 92.3K | 85.69% ±1.49 | −2.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1) | 112K | 86.10% ±1.36 | −2.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v1?window=all) | 112K | 86.10% ±1.36 | −2.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 112K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $213 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $149 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $50.86 | 1.2% | 14 | 11.2 | 1.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $29.16 | 1.3% | 22 | 22.4 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,136 | $5.52 | 1.1% | 0 | 98.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 1,053 | $4.11 | 0.9% | 0 | 106.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 935 | $3.87 | 0.9% | 0 | 119.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 909 | $3.82 | 1.0% | 0 | 123.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 488 | $3.60 | 1.7% | 0 | 229.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 562 | $2.42 | 1.0% | 0 | 199.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $2.30 | 2.8% | 567 | 592.8 | 0.96× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 455 | $1.68 | 0.8% | 0 | 246.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) | 1 in 373 | $1.38 | 0.8% | 0 | 299.8 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $1.33 | 2.8% | 989 | 1023.5 | 0.97× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $1.32 | 1.8% | 0 | 667.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 107 | $1.30 | 2.8% | 1,055 | 1047.0 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 306 | $1.25 | 0.9% | 0 | 365.8 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 217 | $1.25 | 1.3% | 0 | 515.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-battle-scarred) | 1 in 263 | $1.16 | 1.0% | 0 | 425.1 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 175 | $1.12 | 1.5% | 0 | 640.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 215 | $1.03 | 1.1% | 0 | 521.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 410 | $1.01 | 0.6% | 0 | 272.9 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 452 | $0.95 | 0.5% | 0 | 247.2 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $0.93 | 2.8% | 1,313 | 1463.1 | 0.90× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 326 | $0.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 343.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-factory-new) | 1 in 321 | $0.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 349.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 287 | $0.83 | 0.7% | 0 | 390.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 264 | $0.81 | 0.7% | 0 | 423.9 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) | 1 in 300 | $0.81 | 0.6% | 0 | 372.5 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-factory-new) | 1 in 291 | $0.81 | 0.6% | 0 | 384.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 244 | $0.78 | 0.7% | 0 | 457.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $0.73 | 1.9% | 0 | 1299.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $0.72 | 0.8% | 0 | 536.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $0.67 | 1.7% | 0 | 1230.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 1 in 178 | $0.66 | 0.8% | 0 | 629.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 187 | $0.61 | 0.7% | 0 | 598.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 181 | $0.60 | 0.8% | 0 | 618.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $0.57 | 0.8% | 0 | 685.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $0.55 | 1.0% | 0 | 889.3 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $0.50 | 2.8% | 4,284 | 2720.4 | 1.57× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $0.49 | 2.8% | 0 | 2837.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.49 | 7.0% | 2,272 | 7039.2 | 0.32× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.46 | 2.6% | 0 | 2785.3 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $0.44 | 2.7% | 0 | 2963.1 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.35 | 5.8% | 8,831 | 8053.8 | 1.10× |
| [Nova \| Wood Fired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.31 | 5.4% | 8,985 | 8454.2 | 1.06× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $0.29 | 3.6% | 0 | 6032.5 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.24 | 3.5% | 0 | 7224.9 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.24 | 4.6% | 9,894 | 9364.8 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.23 | 3.5% | 0 | 7478.8 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.23 | 3.5% | 0 | 7419.5 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| O-Ranger (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-o-ranger-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.19 | 4.0% | 10,947 | 10282.0 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.17 | 3.7% | 11,230 | 10750.7 | 1.04× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/isamu-v1`, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) [Bakusiowa | CODE: BAKU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Bakusiowa%20%7C%20CODE%3A%20BAKU) $0.50 $219 438.2x 2026-11-06 12:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) [TastyXany](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/TastyXany) $0.50 $219 438.0x 2026-11-04 11:11 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 $56.79 113.6x 2026-11-09 08:58 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 $56.79 113.6x 2026-11-09 08:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 $56.47 112.9x 2026-11-08 22:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 $56.47 112.9x 2026-11-08 19:44 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [Shirocoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Shirocoo) $0.50 $56.18 112.4x 2026-11-06 15:34 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 $56.18 112.4x 2026-11-06 12:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [ziom](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/ziom) $0.50 $55.36 110.7x 2026-11-07 23:02 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [Bocian](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Bocian) $0.50 $54.30 108.6x 2026-11-03 20:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=isamu-v1)

[P250 | Bullfrog weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog) [Whistle](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Whistle) $0.50 $0.26 0.52x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[Galil AR | O-Ranger (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-o-ranger-factory-new) [Whistle](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Whistle) $0.50 $0.19 0.38x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [C0nFident](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/C0nFident) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[Nova | Wood Fired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-battle-scarred) [roccotrojan09CS2SKINS.GIFTCS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/roccotrojan09CS2SKINS.GIFTCS2.ME) $0.50 $0.31 0.62x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Caged weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged) [Bot w butach](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Bot%20w%20butach) $0.50 $0.27 0.54x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 $0.49 0.98x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Caged weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged) Hidden $0.50 $0.27 0.54x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 $0.49 0.98x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[SG 553 | Danger Close weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close) [M03R](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/M03R) $0.50 $0.32 0.64x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) [White\_Bandit\_Skins\_CS2.ME\_123](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/White_Bandit_Skins_CS2.ME_123) $0.50 $0.17 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $0.50 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.50 | 87.50% | 53 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $0.50 | 86.85% | 53 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $0.50 | 86.92% | 53 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $0.50 | 86.87% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $0.50 | 88.15% | 53 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $0.50 | 88.35% | 53 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $0.50 | 87.92% | 53 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $0.50 | 87.85% | 53 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $0.50 | 87.61% | 53 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $0.50 | 86.36% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.50 | 85.81% | 53 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.50 | 86.84% | 53 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $0.50 | 88.07% | 53 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $0.50 | 87.32% | 53 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $0.50 | 87.78% | 53 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $0.50 | 88.66% | 53 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $0.50 | 88.17% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 0.0% restricted 2.8% pink 0.3% Mythical 3.9% violet 4.6% #8847ff 4.4% mil spec 4.1% blue 39.8% Rare 6.5% #4b69ff 6.3% milspec 8.4% blueLight 18.8% best hit $219 (438.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt