---
title: "ISAMU V2 JOKER case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "ISAMU V2 JOKER ($513.82) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 59 items with odds, observed 75.55% over 293 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [ISAMU V2 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · ISAMU V2 JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker?window=all)

Price · $513.82

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $449.59 from 59 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.55% · 293 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 16 openings · below min

7 days · 74.57% ±30.47 240 openings

30 days · 75.55% ±27.52 293 openings

since tracking started · 75.55% ±27.52 293 openings

-0.5% 105.3% 211.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker?window=24h) | 16 | 92.40% ±117.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker?window=7d) | 240 | 74.57% ±30.5 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker) | 293 | 75.55% ±27.5 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker?window=all) | 293 | 75.55% ±27.5 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 330 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $6,120 | 56.7% | 9 | 13.7 | 0.65× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $1,592 | 14.8% | 17 | 13.7 | 1.24× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $941 | 8.7% | 17 | 13.7 | 1.24× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $711 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 24 | $547 | 5.1% | 16 | 13.7 | 1.16× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $420 | 0.8% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $345 | 1.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $340 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $329 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $303 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $166 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $155 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $152 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $151 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $149 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $148 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $147 | 0.5% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $137 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $129 | 0.6% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $122 | 1.1% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $104 | 0.5% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $96.95 | 0.9% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $80.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $60.80 | 0.3% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $41.03 | 0.4% | 14 | 13.8 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $40.79 | 0.4% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $38.10 | 0.4% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $35.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $34.04 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $31.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $30.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $29.59 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $29.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $23.38 | 0.2% | 17 | 13.8 | 1.24× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $21.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $19.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.9 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $15.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $11.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $8.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $6.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $5.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $4.87 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $3.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $3.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $3.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $3.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $3.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $3.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $2.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $1.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $1.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $1.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $1.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $1.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $1.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $1.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $0.95 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $0.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $0.78 | 0.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/isamu-v2-joker`, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [SAGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/SAGO) $524 $6,273 11.97x 2026-11-07 11:47 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $514 $6,120 11.92x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [IIIPEPSI COLAIII](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IIIPEPSI%20COLAIII) $514 $6,120 11.92x 2026-11-10 23:48 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [TØXIC](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/T%C3%98XIC) $514 $6,120 11.92x 2026-11-10 20:11 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $516 $6,120 11.87x 2026-11-07 12:46 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $521 $6,120 11.75x 2026-11-04 19:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $521 $6,120 11.75x 2026-11-04 16:41 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $521 $6,120 11.74x 2026-11-03 20:10 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $519 $6,120 11.80x 2026-11-05 11:50 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Naturalson](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Naturalson) $519 $1,686 3.25x 2026-11-03 13:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=isamu-v2-joker)

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge) Hidden $514 $2.53 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:35 UTC

[AWP | Chrome Cannon weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $514 $32.31 0.06x 2026-11-11 23:35 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $514 $122 0.24x 2026-11-11 23:35 UTC

[M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) [grochalek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/grochalek) $514 $96.95 0.19x 2026-11-11 23:35 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mulberry weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry) Hidden $514 $8.81 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) [mateous](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/mateous) $514 $122 0.24x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline) Hidden $514 $30.68 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $514 $6,120 11.92x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AWP | Duality weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality) Hidden $514 $5.58 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni) [Radziu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Radziu) $514 $2.34 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $514 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $514 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $524 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $516 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $520 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $516 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $516 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $524 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $519 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 4.2% classified 18.7% covert 29.2% restricted 8.3% red 8.3% Ancient 4.2% pink 7.5% #d32ee6 2.1% Mythical 6.1% violet 3.1% Classified 0.8% blue 2.5% Rare 0.8% #8847ff 2.5% uncommon 0.8% #4b69ff 0.8% best hit $6,273 (11.97x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt