---
title: "ISAMU V2 case on Casehug: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "ISAMU V2 ($20.00) on Casehug, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 59 items with odds, observed 87.00% over 8,730 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:12Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) / [ISAMU V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2)

# [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) · ISAMU V2

A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2?window=all)

Price · $20.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $17.50 from 59 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.00% · 8,730 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.10% ±10.95 1,177 openings

7 days · 87.66% ±4.32 7,727 openings

30 days · 87.00% ±4.07 8,730 openings

since tracking started · 87.00% ±4.07 8,730 openings

72.5% 84.0% 95.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2?window=24h) | 1,177 | 84.10% ±10.9 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2?window=7d) | 7,727 | 87.66% ±4.32 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2) | 8,730 | 87.00% ±4.07 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2?window=all) | 8,730 | 87.00% ±4.07 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,749 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $6,120 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $1,592 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $941 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $711 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 5,000 | $547 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.71× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $420 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $345 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $340 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 11,111 | $329 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $303 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $166 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $155 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $152 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $151 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $149 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $148 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $147 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $137 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,857 | $129 | 0.3% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $122 | 0.7% | 18 | 8.2 | 2.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $104 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) | 1 in 847 | $96.95 | 0.7% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 1,149 | $80.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 7.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $60.80 | 18.5% | 0 | 464.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $41.03 | 5.5% | 221 | 206.8 | 1.07× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $40.79 | 5.5% | 199 | 208.1 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $38.10 | 5.5% | 185 | 222.7 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $35.86 | 1.7% | 0 | 70.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $34.04 | 1.7% | 0 | 75.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $31.49 | 1.9% | 0 | 91.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $30.36 | 1.9% | 0 | 95.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $29.59 | 3.7% | 0 | 193.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $29.28 | 3.7% | 0 | 191.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $23.38 | 10.3% | 718 | 676.4 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $21.87 | 4.9% | 0 | 345.0 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 19.1% | $19.95 | 21.7% | 0 | 1669.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 379 | $15.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 23.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 385 | $11.52 | 0.2% | 0 | 22.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $8.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 66.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $6.09 | 0.3% | 0 | 63.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-factory-new) | 1 in 342 | $5.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 25.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) | 1 in 269 | $4.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 32.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 278 | $3.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 31.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $3.81 | 0.3% | 0 | 133.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $3.81 | 0.3% | 0 | 133.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $3.68 | 0.3% | 0 | 140.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $3.23 | 0.1% | 0 | 62.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $3.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 68.3 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $2.33 | 0.8% | 0 | 499.0 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $1.58 | 0.1% | 0 | 131.3 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $1.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 244.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 268.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $1.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 272.2 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $1.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 297.4 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $1.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 301.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $1.15 | 0.2% | 0 | 327.1 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 296.2 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 328.7 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 407.2 | 0.00× |

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `casehug:cases/isamu-v2`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 $1,620 81.01x 2026-11-07 04:12 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) [demy](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/demy) $20.00 $941 47.06x 2026-11-08 14:09 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 $941 47.06x 2026-11-08 03:17 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) Hidden $20.00 $604 30.18x 2026-11-06 00:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) Hidden $20.00 $580 28.99x 2026-11-08 13:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) [Madyjok](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Madyjok) $20.00 $547 27.35x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=casehug&case=isamu-v2)

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 $23.38 1.17x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mulberry weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry) Hidden $20.00 $3.53 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat) [Murzynowski](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Murzynowski) $20.00 $1.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) [xX\_DyluS\_Xx](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/xX_DyluS_Xx) $20.00 $41.03 2.05x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat) [kaCzoR\_kill4Fun](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/kaCzoR_kill4Fun) $20.00 $1.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[P250 | Mehndi weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi) Hidden $20.00 $20.28 1.01x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) Hidden $20.00 $41.03 2.05x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Red Laminate weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate) [GigaN CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/GigaN%20CS2.ME) $20.00 $61.13 3.06x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat) Hidden $20.00 $1.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni) Hidden $20.00 $1.52 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $20.00 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $20.00 | 87.25% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $20.00 | 87.30% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $20.00 | 87.69% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $20.00 | 87.54% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $20.00 | 87.58% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $20.00 | 87.75% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $20.00 | 87.70% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $20.00 | 87.73% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $20.00 | 87.70% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $20.00 | 87.73% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $20.00 | 87.29% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $20.00 | 87.54% | 59 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $20.00 | 87.49% | 59 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $20.00 | 87.31% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $20.00 | 87.55% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $20.00 | 87.57% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $20.00 | 87.84% | 59 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $20.00 | 87.37% | 59 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% classified 13.5% covert 0.6% restricted 2.6% red 6.4% Ancient 2.4% pink 12.7% #d32ee6 19.1% Mythical 10.8% violet 4.9% Classified 0.7% blue 7.5% Rare 1.5% #8847ff 9.6% uncommon 3.1% #4b69ff 4.7% best hit $1,620 (81.01x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt